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NFL Point Spread Pick – Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Miami Attempts to Control Patriots Offense

Our Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots pick offers a classic AFC East matchup. This Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots pick and analysis notes that the last time the Fins won a game was December 9, 2018 when they beat the Pats 34-33. The Pats last loss was to Pittsburgh on December 16, 2018 by a score of 10-17.

The New England Patriots (1-0) are coming off a 33-3 first week win against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The recent Super Bowl winners looked strong on both sides of the ball. In the victory, Tom Brady tossed three TD passes. The Miami Dolphins (0-1) did not fare well at all in Week One. Last week, the Baltimore Ravens hammered the Fins 59-10. In that game, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick completed just 48.3% of his passes, tossing one TD pass and one pick.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Pick – Fin D and Brady

In their first game of this season, the Miami defense gave up five TD passes to Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson tossed just 20 passes, completing 17 and accumulating 324 yards. The Dolphins recorded one sack and no interceptions. Against the Steelers, Brady threw three TD passes as he completed 24 of 26 for 341 yards. He was sacked once and did not throw one interception.

Also, WR Julian Edelman made six catches for 83 yards. Edelman also tossed and completed one pass for 32 yards. WR Philip Dorsett made four catches for 96 yards and two scores. WR Antonio Brown joins the team today. The addition of the dynamic Brown to the receiving ranks makes the New England pass-catching unit one of the most dangerous in the NFL.

Dolphins vs Patriots – Other Factors

The Patriots Stephen Gostkowski is one of the most reliable placekickers in the NFL. In the first game of the season, Gostkowski hit four-of-four attempts as well as three-of-three extra points. On defense last week, New England corner Jason McCorty posted seven tackles and grabbed a pick.

In Week One, the Miami defense recorded one sack and four TFL. However, the Dolphin defense allowed 265 rushing yards and 378 passing yards. If they cannot control the Pats’ offense, this could very well be a long day for Miami.

Five Keys – Miami vs New England Prediction

  1. Antonio Brown plays his first game with the Patriots. Watch out!
  2. Will Fitzpatrick or Rosen start at QB for Miami? Does it matter?
  3. New England rush attack needs to be more dynamic than they were last week.
  4. Dolphin defense needs to pressure Brady
  5. New England depth and coaching smarts are tough to beat

Our Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Pick

Our Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots prediction doesn’t love the 18-point spread in this game. However, the Pats do possess a dynamic offense and solid defense. The Dolphins are looking for an answer to their quarterback question. They may go to Josh Rosen today sooner than later. For more Week Two predictions, see our eight quick picks.

Summary Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Pick

New England Patriots point spread at -18.0


Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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