Our Tampa Bay vs Green Bay pick for Sunday, January 24, 2021 is for the NFC Championship. The oddsmakers have the Packers favored by 3.5 (-107), while the Bucs are the underdogs at +3.5 (-115). These two teams have both done well recently against the spread. Over their past 10 games, both teams are 6-4. Plus, statistically, both of these teams are very close.
The game will be played in Green Bay at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI. Kickoff will be at 3:05 pm ET. Weather will be mostly cloudy with an 8% chance of precipitation. Temperature at game time will be 29 degrees with winds out of the West at 9mph.
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay Pick – Offenses
The Bucs are averaging 30.8 PPG, while the Pack has been good for 31.8 PPG. Both are led by premium quarterbacks, Tom Brady for Tampa Bay and Aaron Rodgers for Green Bay. This season, Brady has tossed 40 TDs and 12 INTs. He’s completed 65.7% of his passes and been sacked 21 times. Four receivers come to this game with a total of 30 TD passes. Those four are WRs Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Scotty Miller and TE Rob Gronkowski. Evans has 70 catches with 13 going for scores. The rushing game is solid and includes Ronald Jones II and Leonard Fournette who have seven and six TDs respectively.
Rodgers has had one amazing season, completing 70.7% of his passes for 4,299 yards 48 TDs and just five interceptions. He’s been sacked 20 times. Four players have accumulated a total of 38 TD catches with WR Davante Adams snaring 18 and TE Robert Tonyan 11. RBs Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are Green Bay’s primary rushers with Jones leading the team with nine TD runs and 1,104 total yards.
Buccaneers vs Packers Spread Pick – Defenses
Our Tampa Bay vs Green Bay prediction notes that statistically, the Bucs are certainly better than the Packers. However, Green Bay is allowing 18.0 PPG, while the Bucs are giving up 21.5 PPG. In that category, they’re a tad more proficient. But in other statistical categories, the Bucs take the prize. In terms of sacks, it’s 48-41, TFL 108.5-72.5, and picks 15-11. The Bucs have forced 15 fumbles and recovered 10, while Green Bay has forced 12 and recovered seven. Green Bay is a bit better on passes defended 74-70.
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay Pick – Final Word
Our Tampa Bay vs Green Bay pick notes that the Bucs will be without Antonio Brown. Safety Antoine Winfield is questionable but will likely play. Green Bay is missing a wealth of defensive players, including corners Kabion Ento and Parry Nickerson, LB James Burgess, and DT Kingsley Keke. Corner Kevin King is questionable but is expected to play. Keke and King are could be important factors for the Packers.
For another view on the Tampa Bay vs Green Bay game check out Ryan’s pick.