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NFL Spread Pick – Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

Struggling Falcons Travel to San Francisco

This Atlanta vs San Francisco pick lists the Niners at -10.5. This Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers prediction is for Sunday, December 15, 2019. The game is set to kick off at 4:25 PM ET at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The Atlanta Falcons (4-9 Overall, 2-4 Away) have struggled all season. The team is last in the NFC South. Prior to their bye-week, they went 1-7. Since that week, the Falcons are 3-2. Those three wins include a 20-9 beating of New Orleans and two victories over Carolina. Losses were to Tampa Bay and the Saints. The San Francisco 49ers (11-2 Overall, 5-1 Home) are first in the NFC West. The Seattle Seahawks are right on their heels. Over their last five games, SF is 3-2 with losses to Seattle (24-20 OT) and Baltimore (20-17). On the other end, the Niners beat Arizona (36-26), Green Bay (37-8), and New Orleans (48-46).

Atlanta vs San Francisco Pick – Stats

The stats are definitely in San Francisco’s favor. The 49ers are scoring 30.5 PPG and allowing 17.6. In contrast, the Falcons are averaging 23.1 PPG and giving up 26.4. The Niners’ combined PF/PA comes to +16.0. This is a solid differential for a team that is favored by 10.5 points. Although the point differential between these two teams is wide, offensive yards are fairly equal. The Falcons are averaging 388.4 YPG while the 49ers are accumulating 402.6. In the air, the visitors have compiled 318.6 YPG and on the ground, 80.8 YPG. The 49ers are putting up 253.4 YPG in passing and 149.1 YPG in rushing.

In terms of defense, the Niners are holding teams to 294.2 YPG, while the Falcons are allowing 380.9 YPG. The SF defense is responsible for just 177.5 air YPG and 116.6 ground YPG. The Falcon D is allowing opponents 272.9 YPG in passing and 108.0 YPG in rushing. Atlanta’s defensive stats include 23 sacks and 72.5 TFL. They’ve accumulated 10 INTs and 42 PD. Finally, their forced fumble total is at 10, while they have recovered just four. While the Falcons have not scored a defensive touchdown, the 49ers come to this game with four. The home team has made 45 sacks and 97 TFL. They also have defended 60 passes, grabbed 11 picks, and forced 20 fumbles, recovering 14.

Falcons at 49ers Prediction – Players

Although Atlanta QB Matt Ryan has passed for 3559 yards, he has not had the best season. Ryan, who’s completing 66.7% of his passes, has 22 TD passes and 12 picks. The QB has been sacked a hefty 39 times. Our Atlanta vs San Francisco pick notes that one of Ryan’s top pass catchers, Calvin Ridley, is out. TE Austin Hooper and WR Julio Jones are premium performers. Hooper has 58 catches for 640 yards and six scores. Jones has 69 receptions for 1,016 yards and four TDs. RB Devonta Freeman is averaging 3.6 YPA and has scored once. He has 506 yards on 141 carries.

On defense, top performers include DT Grady Jarrett with 5.5 sacks and 13 TFL and LB De’Vondre Campbell with 106 tackles, two picks, five TFL, and six TFL. Safety Damontae Kazee has nabbed three picks and defended three passes. LB Vic Beasley Jr. has six sacks and eight TFL.

The San Francisco offense is commanded by QB Jimmy Garoppolo who’s connected on 25 TD passes. He has 3,345 yards in passingand is completing 69.5% of his throws. Garoppolo has thrown 25 TD passes, pitched 11 picks, and been sacked 27 times. There are a slew of receivers to throw to including TE George Kittle who has made 60 catches for 754 yards and four TDs. The rush attack includes Raheem Mostert and Matt Breida. Mostert has 102 carries for 608 yards and four scores, while Breida has 115 rushes for 596 and one score. RB Tevin Coleman has six scoring runs.

The defense has a wealth of fine performers, including DeForest Buckner and DE Arik Armstead. Buckner has 6.5 sacks and 10.5 TFL, while Armstead has notched 10 sacks and 13.5 TFL. Corner Richard Sherman has grabbed three picks and defended 11 passes.

Our Atlanta vs San Francisco Pick

In Atlanta vs San Francisco pick, we note that clearly the 49ers have a huge advantage on defense and a solid one on offense. We think that San Francisco’s defense will keep Atlanta’s passing game in check, and that the offense will move the ball against a fairly weak Falcon D. Although the spread is a bot steep, we do like the home team’s chances in this one. Our Atlanta vs San Francisco pick is the 49ers ay -10.5.

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers Pick – Summary

San Francisco 49ers at -10.5

pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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