The Miami Marlins will host the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday night to open a four-game series at loanDepot Park. First pitch is set for 6:40PM ET. The Phillies are 42-29 and in good shape in the National League standings. Miami comes in at 28-41 and has struggled most of the season.
This is the fourth meeting this season between the teams. Philadelphia swept Miami in three games back in April, scoring 25 total runs in the series. The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 against the Marlins, and 8 of those 10 games went over the total. Both teams are coming off weekend sweeps, so momentum is strong heading into Monday.
MIA Preview – Looking to Keep Winning at Home
The Marlins just swept the Nationals in Washington, their first three-game sweep of the season. Miami allowed only one run in Sunday’s 3-1 win and has allowed just nine total runs in their last three games. Still, they are giving up 5.36 runs per game on the year, which is near the bottom of the league.
Sandy Alcantara gets the start. He is 3-7 with a 7.14 ERA in 2025. Alcantara has pitched better lately, giving up just two earned runs over his last two starts (12 innings). But his last outing against Philadelphia didn’t go well—he gave up six runs in two innings back on April 18.
Dane Myers has been the best bat in the Miami lineup recently. He’s batting .333 overall and went 8-for-13 with a homer and three RBIs in the Washington series. The team averages 4.09 runs per game and is 14-20 at home this year. Their bullpen ERA is 3.59, slightly better than their starters.
PHI Preview – Offense Staying Hot as Road Trip Starts
The Phillies are coming off a sweep of Toronto where they scored 11, 6, and 5 runs across the three games. They’ve won five of their last six overall. Nick Castellanos hit a grand slam on Sunday, and Alec Bohm also homered to help finish the sweep.
Mick Abel will start for Philadelphia. He’s 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA in three outings. He pitched 6 shutout innings against Pittsburgh on May 18 and has allowed just 4 earned runs in his last 15 innings. This will be his first career appearance against Miami.
Rookie Otto Kemp has given the Phillies a big lift with Bryce Harper out. Kemp is 10-for-24 (.417) over the last six games and had four hits on Sunday. The team averages 4.70 runs per game while allowing 4.24. Their bullpen has held strong with a 4.20 ERA and several relievers like Kerkering and Strahm showing solid form.
Betting Prediction
The Phillies are listed as -135 favorites with a total of 8.5. They’ve won six of the last ten games in this matchup and have won 29 of their last 45 games overall. They’ve also covered the F5 run line in 39 of their last 67 games. The under has hit in 19 of their last 30 road games.
Miami has been strong to the under as well, hitting it in 21 of their last 32 games. But their lineup is weak, and Alcantara’s track record this year is not strong enough to fade the Phillies. Philadelphia should keep the offense going and get enough from Abel to take the win. Final score prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3.
Pick: Phillies -135
