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MLB Pick: Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals

Houston Astros BattingThe Houston Astros are in Kansas City tonight for game one of a three game series with the Royals. The Astros haven’t had much luck versus the Royals of late winning just 3 of the last 11 meetings overall and just 1 of the last 5 played in Kansas City.

Head to Head Trends

Astros are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.
Astros are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City.

Kansas City Royals (+105)

The Kansas City Royals are 2nd in the American League Central 3 games back of the 1st place Cleveland Indians. The Royals had a super slow start this season winning just 6 of their first 21 games but it looks like they got things figured out and seem to be getting stronger and stronger as the season goes on. The Royals have the best home record in all of baseball at 25-8. At home the Royals are averaging 5.00 runs per game on offense while allowing just 3.73 runs per game.

Taking the mound for the Royals in this one is Edison Volquez who is 7-6 with a 4.12 ERA on the season. Volquez has pitched fairly good this season but especially at home where he is 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA.

Kansas City Royals Trends

Royals are 18-6 in their last 24 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Royals are 21-6 in Volquezs last 27 home starts.

Houston Astros (-115)

The Houston Astros are 2nd in the American League West 10 games back of the 1st place Texas Rangers. The Astros also got off to a slow start this season but they look like they got things figured out and are getting stronger as the season goes on as well. The Astros don’t play all that well on the road where they are just 15-21 in large part due to their pitching who have just been horrible away from home this season.

On the hill for the Astros today is lefty Dallas Keuchel who is 3-9 with a 5.32 ERA on the season. Keuchel has been hit or miss this season. He has 7 quality starts but he also has 6 or 7 starts where he’s been hit pretty hard so it’s kind of hard to know what to expect from him.

Houston Astros Trends

Astros are 3-9 in Keuchels last 12 starts.
Astros are 52-109 in their last 161 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Game Pick Summary

I’m going with the Kansas City Royals over the Astros in this one. Both teams are playing some great ball right now but it’s hard to go against the Royals who are the best home team in all of baseball and especially as a +105 underdog.

Free Pick: Kansas City Royals at +105 from Bovada 

Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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