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NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) have a chance to be the top team in the AFC West today, while the San Diego Chargers (5-10) will finish playing out their string of 16 NFL games. The Chiefs are definitely headed to the playoffs, win or lose, and the Chargers to the golf course. Our Kansas City Chiefs play San Diego Chargers free pick has the visitors at -5.0.

Kansas City comes into this game having won four of their last five. That includes a 33-10 win over the Broncos last week. Their one loss was the week before, 19-17 to the Titans. Over their past five games, the Chargers are 1-4 with a four-game losing streak. They last won on Nov. 27 beating Houston 21-13. When these teams met earlier in the season in week one the Chiefs won 33-27.

Kansas City Offense vs. Chargers D

Chiefs QB Alex Smith (66.6 COMP%, 13 TDs, 7 INTs, 27 Sacks) will once again be looking to connect with TE Travis Kelce, who has over one thousands yards receiving and four scores, and WR Tyreek Hill, who’s caught six TDs passes. Hill (21 ATT, 252 YDs, 12.0 AVG, 3 TDs) along with Spencer Ware (214 ATT, 931, 4.3 AVG, 3 TDs) are in charge of running the ball. The Chief ground attack is relatively solid. They’re averaging 23.5 PPG.

The Chargers are giving up 25.7 PPG. With 34 sacks, they bring a decent pass rush, and their secondary has 17 INTs and 82 PD. They also have 65 TFL and 16 FF. CB Casey Hayward leads the team with seven picks and 20 PD. DE Joey Bosa is tops on sacks with 9.5 while LB Melvin Ingram has eight.

San Diego Offense vs. Chiefs Defense

The Chargers are scoring 25.5 PPG. QB Phillip Rivers (60.6 COMP%, 31 TDs, 19 INTs, 36 Sacks) may find himself plagued by the Chiefs’ astute secondary. Smith does have a whole stable of guys to throw to including top WR Tyrell Williams (63 REC, 989 YDs, 15.7 AVG, 7 TDs). The Charger running game is crippled with top rusher Melvin Gordon injured and out.

Although Kansas City is low on sacks with 28, they have 19 FF with 15 recoveries and 16 INTs with 94 PD. They’ve also accumulated 49 TFL. Dee Ford has 10 sacks, while Eric Berry four INTs and Marcus Peters 18 PD and five picks. They’re allowing just 18.9 PPG.

Kansas City Chiefs Play San Diego Chargers Free Pick

Our Kansas City Chiefs play San Diego Chargers free pick likes the Chiefs at -5.0. We think they’re motivated, tooled and ready to go.

Kansas City Chiefs Play San Diego Chargers Free Pick: Chiefs at -5.0


Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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