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NFL Pick: Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles

High Flying Eagles Host Hurting Bears

Here we go with a NFL pick that has a huge spread, as the struggling Chicago Bears (3-7 Overall, 1-3 Away) visit the high-flying Philadelphia Eagles (9-1 Overall, 5-0 Home). The Bears have lost three straight, while the Eagles have taken eight games in a row, with their last loss being 27-20 to the Kansas City Chiefs on Sep 17. Our Chicago plays Philadelphia 2017 NFL free pick has the Eagles at -14.0. here’s how we see this game going.

Chicago Overall

The Bears are averaging 17.4 PPG and allowing 22.1 PPG. Their rush attack has been sound, but their air game is weak. Rookie QB Mitchell Trubisky (53.1 COMP%, 4 TDs, 2 INTs) has struggled in his initial NFL season. With Trubisky in the pocket most of Chicago’s offense has been generated on the ground. RB Jordan Howard has 192 carries for 841 yards and five TDs. He’s averaging 4.4 YPA.

The defense comes to this game with just four picks, 24 TFl, and 36 PD. They have forced and recovered eight fumbles. Their sack total sits at 29. The defense has scored three TDs. DE Akiem Hicks, who has made seven sacks, accumulated five TFL, and recovered two fumbles, is an important part of this defense. He is questionable for today. LB Leonard Floyd (4.5 SCKS, 4 TFL, 2 PD), another key force, is out.

Bears Summary

  • Very little passing offense
  • Ground attack success essential
  • Defense is hurting and tired

Philadelphia Overall

The Eagles, who are cranking out 32.0 PPG and holding teams to 18.8 PPG, have a fine air and ground attack. QB Carson Wentz has had a great second NFL season. With a 59.7 completion rate and 25 TD passes to five INTs, he looks unbeatable these days. He has a great group of receivers to toss to, including Alshon Jeffery (38 REC, 14.9 AVG, 6 TDs), Zach Ertz (45 REC, 11.9 AVG, 6 TDs, and Nelson Agholor (30 REC, 14.2 AVG, 5 TDS). LeGarrette Blount (122 ATT, 561 YDs, 4.6 AVG, 2 TDs) and Corey Clement (54 ATT, 232 YDs, 4.3 AVG, 4 TDs) lead the rush attack.

The Eagle secondary is top-notch, as they’ve recorded 14 picks and 62 PD. The guys in front have 43 TFL and 29 sacks. The Eagles have forced eight fumbles recovering six and scoring three defensive TDs. Des Brandon Graham and Derek Barnett have combined for 10.5 sacks and 10 TFL, while corners Jalen Mills and Patrick Robinson each have three picks and 10 and 12 PD respectively.

Eagles Summary

  • Pass attack is lethal
  • Great corners and top D-line
  • Have not lost at home

Three Primary Takeaways

Our Chicago plays Philadelphia 2017 NFL free pick takeaways include-

  1. Wentz vs. Trubisky, no contest
  2. D-edge goes to Eagles
  3. Rush attack fairly equal (well not really)

Our Point Spread Pick

Philly looks like an easy pick here. After all, they have been hammering teams. Their last three wins were by 14-plus points. However, Chicago has only lost by 14 or more twice all season and those games were in the first four weeks of the season. But, there’s one more thing to consider, and that’s the fact that the Bears are pretty banged up on both sides of the ball. Our Chicago plays Philadelphia 2017 NFL free pick is the Eagles at -14.0. It just makes too much sense considering where both teams are at.

Chicago at Philadelphia Spread Summary: Philadelphia Eagles at -14.0

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pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He’s written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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