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Wednesday July 15th Arsenal vs Liverpool Betting Pick

Can Gunners Get the Upset vs. EPL's Top Team?

It’s looking to be a rough week for the Gunners heading into Arsenal vs Liverpool betting. After losing 2-1 in the North London Derby to Tottenham on Sunday, Mikel Arteta’s team has to turn around and face 1st place Liverpool. The Reds have looked human lately however.

There would seem to be some value on Liverpool at just -115 even though they played to a draw with Burnley the last time out. This is a team that is 30-3-2 on the season sitting atop the EPL table. Arsenal is in 9th with a lot to play for and at home with +290 win odds. The total is 3.

Does Liverpool Have Much to Play For Here?

The Reds come into Arsenal vs Liverpool betting having already wrapped up the Premier League title. Liverpool conquered that feat two games earlier than any top flight team had ever done. Jurgen Klopp’s team is still chasing down Manchester City’s 100 point record which they can eclipse with three wins to close out the season.

Despite having motivation, Liverpool has draws vs. Everton and Burnley as well as a 4-0 loss to Manchester City over their last six EPL games. The 1-1 draw vs Burnley even came at Anfield on Saturday, the first time the Reds have dropped points at home since January of 2019.

Liverpool had also gone winless and goalless in five straight away competitions prior to the 3-1 win over 15th place Brighton on July 8th. Liverpool is still the best away team in the EPL, but a lot of that was built on their impressive 26-1-0 start to the season. Liverpool hasn’t lost to Arsenal since 2015 however and that includes a 3-1 victory back in August.

Arsenal vs Liverpool betting
Salah tries to lead Liverpool to a win on Wednesday.

Arsenal Trying to Bounce Back From Sunday’s Loss

The Gunners did more than enough to beat Tottenham in the North London Derby over the weekend. Arsenal scored first on an Alexandre Lacazette goal only to allow the Spurs to hit the back of the net just 3 minutes later. Tottenham added the deciding score at 81′ with both goals coming on Arsenal mistakes.

The loss broke an impressive streak of 4 wins and 1 draw across all competitions for the Gunners. That includes 3 wins and a draw vs. 4th place Leicester City in the Premier League. The Gunners have not beaten Liverpool since April of 2015 but did play to a 5-5 draw before losing in a shootout at the Football League Cup in October.

While there may not be 10 goals scored on Wednesday, the number to be ‘over’ 3 would seem like a good bet. Liverpool is averaging 3.1 goals scored in the last 10 meetings with Arsenal. This matchup features two of the top 7 teams in goals scored and two of the top 4 individual scorers in Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Betting Pick

Both teams can put the ball in the back of the net and two scores from each wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility. Liverpool has struggled a bit going away and Arsenal was playing very well until the North London Derby loss on Sunday. I like the ‘over’ play, but don’t see either side gaining an edge in this 2-2 finish.

Pick: Arsenal vs Liverpool ‘Over’ 3
Pick: Draw +285

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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