There’s good value on Miami at +157 in the June 23rd MLB free betting pick mostly because starter Jordan Yamamoto has yet to allow a run in two big league starts. The Marlins wrap up a weekend series with the Phillies and are actually looking for the sweep at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia has now lost 6 in a row and 8 of their last 10 yet are listed as whopping -170 favorites on Sunday.
Can Miami Get the W Behind Rising Star Pitcher?
Yamamoto has had a great start to his big league career, tossing 7.0 IP of 3 hit ball vs. St. Louis and following that up with 7.0 IP and surrendering just 2 hits to the Cardinals. Obviously both those games came against the same team so the right-hander is a bit of an unknown to the rest of the league. Even so, Yamamoto has led the Marlins to wins as +167 and +239 underdogs and by a combined score of 15-0.
The Marlins bats really haven’t been blowing up in their two wins over the Phillies so far in this series. On Friday Miami won by a score of 2-1 with a Bryan Holaday HR being the difference as one of the runs was unearned. On Saturday both teams had 7 hits, but the Marlins were able to get a 5-3 win thanks to a JT Riddle HR. Miami has been held to 2 runs or less in 4 of the last 10 games including being shut out twice. They do face a Phillies starting pitching with some question marks however so the Marlins should be able to plate some runs again on Sunday (O/U 9).
What’s Up With the Phillies?
The situation isn’t entirely dire as the Phillies are still just 5.5 GB from the Braves in the East and we’re not even at the all-star break. Even so, Philadelphia is definitely struggling right now as evidenced by their 6 game losing streak and 2-8 run over the last 10. The Phillies have been held to 2 runs or less in 4 of the last 6 games and face a streaking pitcher in the June 23rd MLB betting free pick. Rhys Hoskins did go 3-4 with two doubles on Friday but the Phillies still lost 1-2. Hoskins and Bryce Harper also both hit HR’s on Saturday and it still wasn’t enough to get the W. Runs are expected to be at a premium in the series finale.
Then again, maybe this tilt will be a high scoring game considering Enyel De Los Santos is getting a spot start after the Phillies were rained out twice last week and forced to play a double header on Wednesday. De Los Santos hasn’t pitched in the majors in over a month and has allowed 5ER in 7 innings of relief work this season. Despite the question marks surrounding their pitching, the Phillies are still -170 favorites on Sunday.
- Marlins are 4-1 last 5 overall
- Marlins are 21-47 last 68 road games
- Phillies are 1-5 last 6 home games
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games
- Under is 5-1 last 6 H2H in Philadelphia
June 23rd MLB Betting Free Pick
Philadelphia is due for a win and the fact that oddsmakers have set the line at PHI -170 despite the team losing 6 in a row seems a bit strange. Yamamoto has pitched great so far for Miami and the Phillies bats have struggled. If the line is a trap, the safer play is for a low scoring affair.
MLB Free Pick: Marlins / Phillies *Under* 9