Free Expert Sports PicksNFL Picks

NFL Week 7 Packers at Texans Betting Preview

Two Teams Coming Off Bitter Losses a Week Ago

All eyes are on Aaron Rodgers heading into the week 7 Packers at Texans betting matchup. The Green Bay QB was atrocious last week, going 16/35 for just 160 yards while throwing his first two INTs of the season in the 38-10 loss at Tampa Bay as -3 point favorites.

Rodgers can bounce back nicely though against a Houston team that allowed 366 yards and 4 TD to Ryan Tannehill last week in the Texans’ 36-42 loss to the Titans as +4 road underdogs. Last week’s defeat ruined Houston’s shot at going 2-0 under interim coach Romeo Crennel, but Green Bay can be gotten to as Tampa Bay showed last week. The Packers are -3 point road favorites, and there should be some scoring with a betting total of 56.

Green Bay Worried After Last Week?

The Packers didn’t look like themselves on a warm afternoon in Tampa Bay last week. The 28-point defeat isn’t indicative of road woes though, as Green Bay has already beaten Minnesota 43-34 (+1), and the Saints 37-30 (+3.5) in away tilts this season. The Packers offense had put up at least 30+ points in all four games to start the season prior to the visit to the Bucs.

The Green Bay offense is likely to bounce back in week 7 Packers at Texans betting against a Houston squad that allowed 344 yards through the air and 263 yards on the ground last week to Tennessee. The Titans were even coming off a super-short week after playing Buffalo the previous Tuesday. Rodgers had posted 13 TD to 0 INT prior to the Tampa Bay loss, but Green Bay does take a hit with RB Aaron Jones likely missing this game with a calf injury.

While the Green Bay offense will likely be fine on Sunday afternoon, how does their defense respond after allowing a 17/27, 2 TD day to Tom Brady last week? Even more concerning is the fact that Ronald Jones ran for 113 yards and 2 TD vs. the Packers last week. Houston doesn’t have much of a traditional rushing attack however, and are the 2nd worst team on the ground this season.

Watson Shouldering the Load for Houston

The Texans don’t mind being a one-dimensional offense, as Deshaun Watson was good enough to win last week vs. Tennessee. Watson was 28/37 with 335 yards and 4 TD/0 INT against the Titans, leading Houston to a 36-29 lead with 1:50 left. Watson now has 359 and 335 yards with 7 TD to 2 INT in the two games since Bill O’Brien was fired.

Houston had a chance to beat one of the AFC’s best teams last week despite running for just 92 yards on 27 carries. Aside from Crennel’s choice to go for 2 points, up 7 with under 2 minutes left, the Texans defense has to take the L last week. Houston allowed over 600 yards of offense to the Titans, including a 94-yard run by Derrick Henry. That’s not a good omen heading into a game with a ticked-off Rodgers and the Green Bay offense.

NFL Week 7 Packers at Texans Betting Free Pick

Everything would point to this game being very high scoring. It’s hard to imagine Green Bay laying another offensive egg against a Texans defense that was absolutely shredded last week. At the same time, Watson and Houston can move the ball at will through the air against any defense. People are going to be pounding the ‘over’, but with good reason.
Texans 38 – Packers 31

Free Pick: Over 56

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *