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NFL Week 4 Browns at Cowboys Betting Preview

Defense Optional Sunday Afternoon in Dallas?

Oddsmakers are expecting some points in the week 4 Browns at Cowboys betting matchup, setting the wagering total at 58, the highest of any game this weekend. This is a matchup between two potent offenses, but also a couple lackluster defenses.

Dallas is a -4 point home favorite on Sunday as they’ve won their only game at AT&T Stadium 40-39 over the Falcons. Cleveland has also only played one road game, a 38-6 shellacking at Baltimore in the season opener. The Browns have won two straight since then, can they expose the Cowboys defense for a third straight?

Mayfield Finding It?

Before we start anointing Cleveland as having turned things around, it’s important to note that their wins have come against Washington and Cincinnati the last two weeks. Even so, the Browns offense has put up an average of 34.5 ppg the last two, with Baker Mayfield throwing 4 TD to 1 INT over that span.

Mayfield will have some opportunities in Browns at Cowboys betting as the Dallas defense is absolutely Swiss cheese right now. The Cowboys have allowed a 4TD pass game to Matt Ryan and 5 to Russell Wilson the last two weeks with 0 INT.

As bad as Dallas is against the pass, it’s the Cleveland run game that could be the star of Sunday’s meeting. Nick Chubb continues to impress with 232 yards and 4 TD the last two weeks. Kareem Hunt gives the Browns a dual-threat in the backfield as he has two TD catches and one rushing in the last two games. Dallas has allowed 115 rushing yards/game the last two.

Cowboys Offense Too Much?

Cleveland will put up points in this Browns at Cowboys betting matchup, but will it be enough to hang with the high-octane Dallas offense? Dallas has gained almost 500 yards of total offense / game (490.7) and along with 383.3 passing yards/game are both tops in the league.

Joe Burrow posted a 316 yard, 3TD performance against the Cleveland secondary two weeks ago so it should be a big day for Dak Prescott. The Dallas QB has thrown for 450+ in each of the last two weeks, but also had two costly INTs last week against Seattle. The Cowboys have been sloppy as a whole as their six turnovers have led to 31 points for opponents.

Will the Dallas offense get slowed by a Cleveland team that can run the ball and keep the clock churning? The Cowboys are also missing a couple offensive linemen with La’el Collins on the IR with a hip injury and Tyron Smith playing through a stinger. The Browns are a top 10 team in sacks/game led by Myles Garrett, who has 3 sacks and 2 FF.

Browns at Cowboys Betting

All is not well in Big D despite Dallas being atop the horrible NFC East at 1-2. Mike McCarthy’s 4th down decision making is very questionable. The Browns come in on two game win streak, but those victories came against Cincinnati and Washington.

What Cleveland does have is momentum though. The Browns offense isn’t as good as the Falcons or Seattle’s which have torched the Cowboys the last two weeks – but their defense may be better too. Cleveland winning this one SU wouldn’t be that big of a shocker.
Cleveland 34 – Dallas 31

Free Pick: Browns +4

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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