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NFL Week 4 Bears at Giants Betting Preview

Take the Under 38.5 and Call It a Day?

NFL offense might be set back a decade in the Bears at Giants betting matchup as part of the week 4 slate. Chicago (2-1) is setting historically bad passing numbers through three games with just 78.3 ypg and while New York can throw the ball slightly better at 162.3 ypg (30th) they’re also very banged up on the WR front.

It’s obvious that there’s going to be a lot of running the football in Sunday’s meeting. Chicago actually has the #2 rushing offense in the NFL (186.7 ypg) while New York’s Saquon Barkley looks like his old self with 317 yards through three games. The Giants are a -2.5 point home favorite, but it’s got to be the total of 38.5 that people are looking towards hammering on the low scoring side.

Fields Confidence in Question

Bears QB Justin Fields only has 13 starts to his NFL resume but people in Chicago are already starting to doubt his future with the team. Through three games Fields has just 297 yards total (although the season opener was played in a monsoon), attempted just 11 passes against Green Bay, and threw 2 INTs that nearly cost Chicago in a 23-20 home win over Houston last week.

Fields has an O/U of 146.5 yards passing for Bears at Giants betting, which looks like a lock on the under. His season his is 121 yards in the opener, 51 of which came on a broken play TD pass to Dante Pettis. Not only that the Giants have the #10 passing defense in the NFL (203.3) and the Bears will likely rely on their run game like they did last week.

Chicago’s David Montgomery (ankle) is out Sunday but that provides another opportunity for Khalil Herbert to have the full workload. Herbert carried the ball 20 times for 157 yards last week with 2 TDs and even though that was against Houston’s worst rush defense in the league (202.3) the Giants are giving up nearly 140 ypg on the ground.

Giants Fighting Through Injuries

Barkley has an O/U of 80.5 rush yards on Sunday, a number which should go towards the ‘over.’ He’s averaging over 100 ypg on the year (317 yards), Chicago’s defense ranks 30th giving up 157.0 ypg on the ground, and New York really doesn’t have anybody to throw to due to injuries.

The Giants lost Sterling Shephard for the season with an Achilles injury last week, while Kadarius Toney (hamstring) and Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) are unavailable against the Bears. This leaves Daniel Jones with David Sills and Richie James as his outside targets aside from the underwhelming Kenny Golladay (2 catches, 22 yards this season).

New York will also be without DT Leonard Williams on Sunday which hurts when you’re up against a potent Chicago rushing attack.

Free Week 4 Bears at Giants Betting Pick

We know the game plan for each team here, stack the box and make the passing game beat you. New York is banged up in the WR department while Chicago is just bad at that position. It’s a coin flip game as these two are mirror images each other, so in that case take the home squad.

Free Pick: Giants -2.5

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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