Grocery shopping on Sunday nights is the best time to find value. Everything is picked over for the weekend and stores want to push items off the shelves before the Monday deliveries start coming in. It seems that’s the approach the oddsmakers have taken in the MLB Pick Red Sox Astros 4-24 as both teams are negative moneyline bets (Houston -107, Boston -101). This is an ode to each squad being surprisingly mediocre early in the season and the fact they have split the weekend series thus far.
Boston Red Sox Overview
The Red Sox are 8-9 on the young season, sitting 3.5 games back from the first place Orioles. They’ve gone just 2-5 in their last 7, one win of which was a 6-2 series opening win against the Astros. For Boston to get the win they must turn to 6’6″ left-hander Henry Owens. The pitcher was supposed to be a regular part of Boston’s rotation after starting 11 games a year ago as a rookie. Control issues in Spring Training forced him to a stint at AAA Pawtucket, where he’s allowed just 2 runs through 18IP over 3 starts (1.00 ERA).
— OTM Sports Boston (@OTMSportsBOS) April 24, 2016
Owens was 4-4 last year in the big leagues with a 4.57 ERA. For the MLB Pick Red Sox Astros 4-24 he hasn’t faced a single member of the Houston lineup – which isn’t necessarily a disadvantage. Once again, the oddsmakers truly believe this one could go either way.
Houston Astros Overview
Houston hasn’t found a way to emulate last year’s success thus far in 2016 sitting in last place at 6-12. They’ve especially struggled lately losing 8 of 10 before last night’s 8-3 win over Clay Buchholz. Scott Feldman gets the start on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball, looking for his first victory of the year (0-2). Feldman has only pitched into the 7th in one start, going 6.1 IP and giving up 2R (O earned) in an eventual 4-2 loss to the Royals. He also has limited experience for the MLB Pick Red Sox Astros 4-24 against the opposition tonight, facing only one Boston batter (Brock Holt 3-6 .500 AVG.)
MLB Pick Red Sox Astros 4-24
So who do you take in the MLB Pick Red Sox Astros 4-24 in a game that can go either way? Normally home field advantage would sway the pick but the Astros are only 4-5 at Minute Maid Park this season. Boston is also a respectable 4-3 on the road. The total is listed at 9, a number that has hit in 3 of the last 4 Red Sox games and 3 of 5 Astros contests. That number is based on the fact that Sox starter Owens is an enigma and Feldman for the Astros hasn’t exactly been tearing it up. When batters haven’t seen a pitcher however, the advantage usually goes to the guy on the mound making the ‘under’ seem like a good play.
Under totals can be a hard watch on TV, just put the bet in and go out and get groceries.
Pick: Under 9