MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays – MLB Preview – July 29, 2025

The Baltimore Orioles host the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday afternoon at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 12:35 PM ET. This is the second game of a three-game series between AL East opponents. Baltimore won the opener 11-4 behind a strong offensive showing.

These teams have played 10 times this season and split the games 5-5. Toronto sits at 63-44 on the year and holds a wild card spot. Baltimore has a 48-58 record and is 25-26 at home. The Orioles are trying to build momentum after a 2-3 road trip.

In Mondayโ€™s win, Baltimore racked up 11 runs on 12 hits. It was only their second win in the last six games. They had not won back-to-back games in weeks. The Blue Jays had a three-game winning streak snapped and have now lost two of their last three.

Orioles Preview โ€“ Sugano Looks for Another Solid Start

Right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano will make his third MLB start. He is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA. In his last outing, he gave up one run in 5.1 innings against the Royals. He made his debut earlier this year against Toronto and gave up two runs in four innings.

Baltimore has struggled to score consistently but broke through in the series opener. They average 4.29 runs per game and allow 5.04. Jackson Holliday and Gunnar Henderson have been the key bats lately with Ryan Mountcastle still out due to injury.

The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA but is missing a few key arms, including Felix Bautista and Scott Blewett. In the last three games, the bullpen has allowed 19 runs in 24 innings. Gregory Soto and Yennier Cano are among the main options late in games, but command has been an issue.

Blue Jays Preview โ€“ Francis Back on the Mound

Toronto gives the ball to Bowden Francis, who is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA. He didnโ€™t pitch in the opening series against Baltimore but faced them twice last season, allowing nine runs in 14 total innings. Francis has been solid over his last two starts, allowing four runs in 11.1 innings.

The Blue Jays have been held under three runs in regulation in five of their last seven games. Injuries have impacted their lineup, with Alejandro Kirk, Andres Gimenez, and Dalton Varsho all out. Tyler Heineman had three hits in the last game but help was limited around him.

The bullpen is one of Torontoโ€™s strengths, posting a 3.58 ERA across 360 innings this year. Relievers like Yariel Rodriguez and Easton Lucas have been tough to hit lately. The bullpen has been leaned on more due to shorter starts, but it has held up well under pressure.

Betting Prediction

Toronto has hit the under in seven straight games, and the under has cashed in 11 straight full games. The team also trends under in first five innings totals on the road. Despite the lopsided score in Game 1, Torontoโ€™s pitching should tighten up here, especially if Francis works into the fifth or sixth inning.

Baltimore has struggled to put two wins together. Sugano has been solid, but Toronto has seen him once before and may adjust better this time. The Blue Jays are the more consistent team overall. Expect a lower-scoring game and a bounce-back win for Toronto to even the series.

Pick: Blue Jays +100

 

 

 

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