The July 24th White Sox at Brewers contest looks like it’s going to be a pitching matchup on paper. The run total is just 7 in a matchup between Carlos Rodon (8-3, 2.14 ERA) and Corbin Burnes (5-4, 2.16 ERA), two Cy Young candidates in their respective leagues.
Milwaukee was able to take Friday’s series opener 7-1 thanks largely in part to a Tyrone Taylor grand slam that was part of a 6-run 7th inning and five Milwaukee pitchers combining to hold Chicago to just 5 total hits. Runs should be at a premium in this one, but is the Brewers -125 the play or Chicago +100.
White Sox Offense Was a Dud Friday
Chicago boasts the #5 scoring offense in the league plating over 5 runs/game, but they were heavily silenced in Friday night’s series opener. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta went just 4.0 IP as planned, but four relievers combined to allow a single run over the last 5.0 innings.
Chicago’s lone run in the series opener came on an Andrew Vaughn home run. The first four batters in Tony La Russa’s lineup combined to go 0-15 with 6 K’s and things likely won’t get much better facing Burnes in the July 24th White Sox at Brewers matchup. Only three Chicago batters have ever faced the Milwaukee starter, and no players have more than 2 ABs vs. Burnes.
The good news about facing Burnes is that Chicago won’t need an offensive explosion if Rodon can keep rolling. The left-hander has allowed just 1 ER over his last two starts, and is coming off a 7-inning 1-hitter against Houston in his last start. Rodon has allowed an earned run or less in 5 of his last 7, and has 18 K’s over his last two starts.
Brewers Look To Continue Run
Both Milwaukee and Chicago are starting to run away with their respective divisions. After the Brewers win on Friday, they now have a 6.5 lead over the Reds in the Central while the Sox are still up 9 on the Indians despite the series opening loss.
Milwaukee only tallied 1 ER off Lucas Giolito through 6.0 innings on Friday, and they may face some similar obstacles vs. Rodon. The Brewers have gone 7 for 19 (.368) collectively vs. the White Sox starter, led by Willy Adames who is 3-5 in his career vs. the left hander.
Friday’s win also helped the Brewers get back on track at home after they had dropped two to the Royals as -158 and -178 favorites at American Family Field on Tuesday and Wednesday. Milwaukee has a great chance to add to their 28-23 record at home with Burnes on the bump, as the right-hander has allowed an ER or less in four straight starts.
Free July 24th White Sox at Brewers Pick
Milwaukee gets to throw Burnes and Woodruff at the Sox over the next two nights, making the sweep doable. Starting pitching will dominate in this one yet again, and laying the juice on a low scoring first 5 innings is worth it.
Free Pick: First 5 Innings Under 3.5