MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
The Atlanta Braves visit Miller Park in Milwaukee for a four game series with the Brewers. The Brewers have played the Braves well this season winning all 3 meetings so far but they have struggled versus the Braves over the previous couple seasons winning just 4 of 14 meetings.
Head to Head Trends
Braves are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Milwaukee Brewers (-156)
The Milwaukee Brewers are 4th in the National League Central division 19.5 games back of the 1st place Chicago Cubs. The Brewers have struggled for the most part this season but they have played fairly well at home where they have a 30-25 record.
The Brewers are averaging 4.09 runs per game on offense while allowing 4.71 runs per game on defense overall but both those numbers improve at home where they are averaging 4.31 runs per game on offense and 4.44 runs per game on defense.
Starting for the Brewers in this one is Zach Davies who is 9-4 with a 3.57 ERA on the season. Davies had a bit of a slow start to the season losing his first three outings but he’s been pretty good since going 9-1 over his last 16 starts.
Milwaukee Brewers Trends
Brewers are 8-1 in Davies’ last 9 home starts.
Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Atlanta Braves (+146)
The Atlanta Braves are last in the National League East 25 games out of 1st place and with a record of just 41-70 they are also last place in all of baseball right now. The Braves got off to a horrible start this season especially at home where they won just 2 of their first 22 games.
The Braves have been playing surprisingly well of late winning 8 of their last 12 games but I have my doubts if they can continue playing like this for much longer.
On the hill for the Braves today is Rookie Robert Whalen who will be making just the second start of his career. Whalen picked up the win in his first start but it’s not like he pitched well allowing 4 runs in 5 just innings of work.
Atlanta Braves Trends
Braves are 29-62 in their last 91 road games.
Braves are 4-13 in their last 17 games following a win.
I like the Milwaukee Brewers over the Braves in this one. Neither team is exactly good but the Braves are the worst team in baseball and they’re facing a decent pitcher in Zach Davies today so I don’t see them doing all that well here.
Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -156