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NCAAF Pick – #10 Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan State Spartans

Can MSU Stop IU Offense?

Our Indiana vs Michigan State pick has the #10 Hoosiers favored. The best point spread for Indian is -7.0 (-115). The top Spartans’ spread is +7.5 (-114). At 3-0, Indiana is tied for first place with Ohio State in the Big Ten East. Of those three wins by the Hoosiers, two were against nationally-ranked teams. In their first game of the season, Indiana beat #8 Penn State 36-35 in OT. Last week, they took down #23 Michigan 38-21.

The Michigan State Spartans, who are 1-3, are in a three-way tie for third place in the Big Ten East with Michigan and Rutgers. The team’s one win came on October 31 when they beat #13 Michigan 27-24. The two losses were to Rutgers 38-27 and Iowa 49-7. The loss to the Hawkeyes occurred last week.

This Big Ten matchup will be played Saturday, November 14, 2020. Kickoff is scheduled for 12 noon. The weather at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan is forecast to be sunny and 40 degrees. The wind will be from the SSE at 10mph.

Indiana vs Michigan State Pick – Stats

The Hoosiers are averaging 37.0 PPG. On the other side of the ball, their defense is keeping opponents at 25.7 PPG. Conversely, the Spartans are putting 20.3 PPG up on the scoreboard. Their D is allowing 37.0 PPG.

Both offenses are generating ample passing yards. Indiana is posting 250.0 YPG in the air, while Michigan State is passing for 289.7 YPG. At the same time, neither team has a running game. Indiana is averaging 89.3 ground YPG, while MSU is generating just 78.3 rushing YPG.

Hoosiers vs Spartans Spread Pick – Key Players

For Indiana, sophomore QB Michael Penix Jr. is completing 58.9% of his passes. He’s tossed seven touchdown passes and rushed for two more scores. Penix has thrown just one interception and has been sacked four times. Four different Indiana players have caught at least one TD pass. TE Peyton Hendershot has three scoring catches and a dozen receptions overall. WR Whop Philyor leads the Hoosiers with 21 catches and 252 yards.

Junior Stevie Scott is the club’s top rusher. Scott, who’s run for four scores, has 235 yards on 65 attempts. The Hoosier defense brings solid stats to this game. Those include eight sacks, seven picks, and 13 PD. Standouts include DBs Tiawan Mullen (2.5 SCKs, 2 PD) and Devon Matthews (1 SCK, 4 PD, 1 INT) and LB Micah McFadden (15 Solo TCKLs, 21 TOT TKLS).

Our Indiana vs Michigan State pick notes that Spartan QB Rocky Lombardi has struggled. Lombardi, who’s thrown six touchdown passes, has also tossed five picks. He’s also been sacked five times. The quarterback’s completion rate is 58.0%. Four players have caught TD passes. The team’s top pass catcher is sophomore wideout Jalen Nailor. Nailor has 12 receptions for 271 yards and one score.

RB Jordon Simmons has 132 rushing yards on 37 attempts. He has not scored a TD. The Spartans have just one rushing touchdown. On defense, MSU has four sacks, one INT, and three forced fumbles with two recovered. LBs Antjuan Simmons and Noah Harvey have 26 and 25 total tackles respectively.

Indiana vs Michigan State Pick – Final Word

In this Big Ten matchup, our Indiana vs Michigan State pick likes the Hoosiers. They’ve done well when tested by top 25 teams. Plus, the Hoosiers not only have a fine offense, but their defense is superior to MSU’s. We’re taking the Indiana Hoosiers at -7.0. You can access our Indiana vs Michigan State totals pick here.

Indiana Hoosier vs Michigan State Spartans Summary

Indiana Hoosiers at -7.0 (-115)


Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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