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NFL Week 12 Pick – Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots

Big Game in Massachusetts

Week 12 NFL Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots pick Our Week 12 NFL Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots pick has the Pats at -5.0 This Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots pick notes that both teams top their divisions. The Dallas Cowboys (6-4 Overall, 3-2 Away) are one game up in the NFC East with the Philadelphia Eagles in second place. The New England Patriots (9-1 Overall, 4-0 Home) are two games ahead of the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East.

Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 24, 2019. The game will be played at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA. The weather in Foxboro will be rainy with wind gusts of around 20 mph. Temperatures will be in the mid to high 40s.

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Pick – Stats

When it comes to offensive output, these two teams are as close as can be with the Cowboys averaging 28.6 PPG and the Pats 28.7 PPG. Yards per game are a bit of a different as Dallas is averaging 454.0 on offense and New England 372.3. The Cowboy rush attack is hammering out 131.9 YPG on the ground while the Pats have been averaging 91.0 YPG. Dallas also tops New England in the air game, averaging 322.1 YPG with the Patriots at 281.3 YPG.

Defense is a different story. New England is giving up 275.3 YPG to opponents. The includes just 178.0 YPG in the air and 97.3 on the ground. They are holding teams to 10.8 PPG. Dallas is allowing opponents 19.7 PPG. Yardage comes to 342.4 total defensive yards per game. Of those, 237.2 YPG are air and 105.2 on the ground. Defense could be a huge factor in this game.

Patriot sack totals come to 37 and picks 19. TFL stand at 56.5 and PD at 63. They have forced 11 fumbles and recovered nine. The Cowboys do bring some fine numbers to this game including 10 forced fumbles and eight recoveries and 26 sacks. TFL come in at 51.5 and PD 42. They’ve made four picks. Defensive touchdowns come in at four for New England and one for Dallas.

Cowboys vs Patriots – Players and Matchups

The question for the Cowboys is can running back Ezekiel Elliot get back on track? He has underperformed the last two games, rushing for under 100 yards total. For the Patriots, it’s the health of quarterback Tom Brady. He’s expected to start, but is listed as questionable due to a right elbow issue.

Dallas Cowboys

Our Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots pick notes that C-boy QB Dak Prescott is playing well. He’s connected on 67.7% of his passes for 21 TDs. Also, he’s rushed for three scores. Prescott has thrown nine interceptions and been sacked 12 times. WR Amari Cooper and TE Jason Witten, who have 56 and 41 catches respectively, are two of his favorite targets. Cooper, who’s averaging 15.8 YPC, has caught seven TD passes. WRs Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb each have three TD receptions. If Ezekiel Elliot can get back on track, he will be a major threat. Elliot is averaging 4.1 YPA and scoring seven times.

In terms of D, Dallas LB Jaylon Smith leads the team with 56 solo tackles, 34 assists, and 90 total tackles. Safety Xavier Woods has grabbed two picks. Corner C. Awuzie has defended nine passes and made one interception. DE Demarcus Lawrence leads the team with 4.5 sacks.

New England Patriots

This season Brady is completing 63.7% of his passes. Consequently, he’s thrown 14 TD passes and five interceptions. Brady has been sacked 16 times. WR Julian Edelman has made four TD catches and leads the club with 68 receptions. Phillip Dorsett tops the Pats with five TD catches. In addition, dual-threat RB James White is second on the team with 48 receptions. He’s scored once as a receiver and once as a running back. The Patriots use a slew of running backs, but Sony Michel is their top guy with six scoring rushes. He’s averaging 3.3 YPA.

In many ways this season, New England’s offense has been off-and-on, but for the most part their defense has been clicking. LB Jamie Collins is a top performer. He leads the team in tackles with 48 tackles, six sacks, and 10.5 TFL. Safety Devin McCourty has five picks and seven PD, while CB Stephon Gilmore has accumulated 11 PD and three interceptions. This D is loaded.

Keys to Dallas vs New England November 23, 2019 Game

  • Prescott vs Brady – whoever wins, wins
  • Patriot defense has to stop Elliot
  • Pressure on Prescott means INT possibilities for Pats go up
  • Can Patriots establish running game?
  • Weather favors New England

Our Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Pick

Our Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots pick sees the hometown team as having the advantage. Even if Brady does not play the entire game or if he’s hampered, the New England defense should be a major factor. We’re taking the Pats at -5.5.

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Pick – Summary

New England Patriots at -5.0


Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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