The game of the weekend wraps up the Divisional Round when the Buffalo Bills (11-6, 5-3 away) clash with the Kansas City Chiefs (12-5, 7-2 home), with the victor heading to the Conference Championship to face the Cincinnati Bengals. Buffalo took down the Chiefs, 38-20, in a Week 5 bout in Kansas City.
Sunday’s contest kicks off at 6:30 p.m EST at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite over the Bills, and the over-under total is 54.0 points.
What to Know – Buffalo Bills
Buffalo pounded the New England Patriots in a 47-17 blowout victory in the opening round of last week’s playoffs. The Bills return to the Divisional Round for the second year in a row.
During the regular season, the Bills’ offense ranked near the top of the league, scoring 28.4 points per game and averaging 391.7 yards of offense. Buffalo’s defense also ranked high in the league, allowing 17.0 points and 289.0 yards of offense to opponents.
Josh Allen set a team playoff record, tossing five touchdown passes in the 30-point rout of the Patriots. Dawson Knox caught a pair of first-half touchdown receptions, and Devin Singletary added two touchdowns on the ground. Buffalo’s defense held the Patriots to 89 yards on the ground and forced two interceptions.
Buffalo is 10-6-2 against the spread this season, with a 5-3 mark on the road. The Bills are 4-0-1 ATS over their last five games but 2-5 ATS over their last seven games against the Chiefs.
What to Know – Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City opened up the playoffs with a 42-21 throttling of the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Chiefs are accustomed to deep playoff runs, advancing to the Championship Round the last four seasons.
On offense, the Chiefs’ averaged 28.2 points and 405.4 yards of total offense. Kansas City’s defense allowed teams to score 21.4 points and 381.2 yards of offense.
Patrick Mahomes tossed five touchdown passes and threw for 404 yards in the Wild Card victory over New England. Byron Pringle hauled in two receiving touchdowns, and Travis Kelce caught five passes for 108 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City held Pittsburgh to 257 yards of offense and just 56 yards on the ground.
The Chiefs are 9-9 ATS and 5-5 ATS at home. Kansas City is 5-0 ATS over their previous five games at home and 2-4 ATS in their last six in January.
The Pick is In
Sunday night’s showdown is sure to entertain football fans as two of the league’s best quarterbacks go toe-to-toe with a chance to advance to the next round of the NFL postseason. The Chiefs will try and avenge an early-season loss to the Bills in front of their home crowd.
Buffalo has the horses on offense to go head-to-head with the Chiefs, and the Bills’ defense has a slight edge over Kansas City. The fans will be a factor, but the Bills appear to be a team on a mission.
Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills +1.5