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9/23 College Football Saturday Night Free Pick

Oregon Ducks at Arizona State Sun Devils

Bettors may need to take advantage of the last valuable line we’ll see on Oregon for awhile. The Ducks have broken into the rankings at #24 in the nation but are going to be climbing up the charts like a One Direction member releasing a solo album. Granted, this line isn’t the best as the Ducks still have to give up two touchdowns on the road to Arizona State, but the 9/23 college football Saturday night free pick will show that the number might not be enough for the Sun Devils.

Oregon on a Mini-Tear to Start the Year

Expectations were hesitant in Eugene to start the season as the Ducks turned over the reigns of their football program to the more defensive minded Willie Taggart. Instead, the coach has implemented an offense that is even faster moving than under the previous regime of Mark Helfrich and maybe even his predecessor Chip Kelly. The Oregon offense is ranked 2nd in the nation at a mind-boggling 609 YPG and they’ve scored 40+ in each of their first three games. QB Justin Herbert is completing almost 75% of his passes (897 yards, 5TD) and RB Royce Freeman is looking like a legitimate Heisman candidate with 460 yards rushing and 9TD already in just three games.

The key to the 9/23 college football Saturday night free pick is that the Oregon defense has improved too. Although that’s really not hard to do when at one point in the 2016 season they were statistically the worst defensive unit in the nation. The squad is now ranked 33rd in yards per game allowed (303) and has limited their first three opponents to an average of under 200 YPG through the air.

Can ASU Keep Up To Cover the +14.5 in the 9/23 College Football Saturday Night Free Pick?

9/23 college football saturday night free pick
ASU QB Manny Wilkins has been stellar – but it’s been a one-sided offensive attack thus far.

The Sun Devils find themselves as home dogs Saturday night thanks to their disappointing start to the year. They held on to just a 6-point win over New Mexico State in the opener despite being favored by -26.5. A week later they lost outright to San Diego State 20-30 even though they were favored by 10. Last week’s loss at Texas Tech was expected, but ASU still failed to cover the number in a 52-45 loss while getting +6 on the road.

The passing game has been a bright spot for the Sun Devils as QB Manny Wilkins has thrown for 924 yards (19th in the nation) with 7TD and 0INT. Their running game however is 15th worst in the nation churning out only 97 YPG. The multi-faceted Oregon attack should have huge success against an ASU defense that is 9th worst in the nation allowing 338 passing yards per game and another 167.3 on the ground.

9/23 College Football Saturday Night Free Pick Betting

As stated, it’s always sketchy laying over two touchdowns as road favorites but this Oregon Duck squad might be under the radar that dang good. The Ducks won 54-35 last year – in Eugene, but also one of the worst Oregon squads in recent memory in what was a 4-8 campaign. Oddsmakers are defnitely expecting a shootout with a total of 77.5, but the combination of Herbert and Freeman may mean most of those points come from the folks in green and yellow – or whatever color concoction the Ducks are going with in the 9/23 college football Saturday night free pick.

Pick: Oregon -14.5

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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