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MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds at St Louis Cardinals

Overview

The Cincinnati Reds are in St Louis for the second game of a three game series versus division rivals the St Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals have owned the Reds over the past few seasons winning 48 of the last 67 meetings overall including 9 of the last 10 in St Louis.

Head to Head Trends

Reds are 19-48 in the last 67 meetings in St. Louis.
Cardinals are 7-1 in Garcias last 8 home starts vs. Reds.

cardinals mlb teamSt Louis Cardinals (-153)

The St Louis Cardinals are 1st in the National League Central 6.5 games clear of the 2nd place Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cardinals also have the best record in all of baseball with 64 wins versus 35 losses plus they own the best home record in the league at 37-13. The Cardinals have an ok offense averaging 4.01 runs per game but their real strength is their pitching staff who are allowing just 2.90 runs per game which is obviously the lowest in the Majors.

On the hill for the Cardinals in this one of lefty Jaime Garcia who is 3-3 with a 1.69 ERA in 7 starts this season. Garcia has pitched great this season he just isn’t getting much run support at just 2.4 runs per game.

St Louis Cardinals Trends

Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Cardinals are 52-16 in their last 68 home games.

Cincinnati Reds (+143)

The Cincinnati Reds are 4th in the National League Central a full 20 games out of 1st place. The Reds also have a decent offense averaging 3.97 runs per game but the difference between them and the Card’s is their pitching is pretty horrible allowing 4.53 runs per game.

Starting for the Reds today is Mike Leake who is 8-5 with a 3.78 ERA on the season. Leake didn’t exactly start the season all that great but he has been impressive lately with just a tiny 0.82 ERA over his last 3 starts.

Cincinnati Reds Trends

Reds are 26-61 in their last 87 road games.
Reds are 5-13 in Leakes last 18 road starts.

Conclusion

I’m going with the St Louis Cardinals over the Reds in this one. The Cardinals have the best home record in all of baseball at 37-13 while the Reds tend to struggle on the road with just a 18-32 record.

Free Pick: St Louis Cardinals -153

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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