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Week Three NFL Pick – New York Jets at Cleveland Browns

Browns Look for First Win of 2018

The New York Jets (1-1) play the Cleveland Browns (0-1-1) in tonight’s Thursday Night Football game. Game time is 8:20 p.m. E.T. Our Week Three Jets play Browns NFL pick offers Cleveland at -3.0 and over/under at 40.5 or 41.0. The Jets created some excitement when they beat Detroit in the first week 48-17. But then the following week Miami took the Jets down 20-12. In week one, the Browns tied Pittsburgh 21-21. The following week, Cleveland lost a squeaker 21-18 to the Saints.

New York Offense vs Browns D

The Jets have averaged 30.0 PPG with 371.5 offensive yards per game. Of those yards, 266 are in the air and 105 on the ground. QB Sam Darnold (68.1 COMP%, 3 TDs, 3 INTs) has looked pretty good thus far. But he’s still a rookie and susceptible to making more mistakes than a solid vet signal caller. He’ll be looking to connect with WRs Quincy Enunwa (13 REC, 11.9 YPC, 1 TD) and Terrelle Pryor (7 REC, 19.0 YPC, 0 TDs). Enunwa has one fumble. RB Isaiah Crowell leads the team in rushing with 22 carries and 137 yards. He’s averaged 6.2 YPC and scored two TDs.

The Browns are holding teams to 21.0 PPG. The D has allowed 399.5 YPG, including 289.0 through the air. They’re also giving up 110.5 YPG on the ground. Cleveland has seven sacks and six TFL. They’ve also managed three picks and 12 TFL. CB Denzel Ward, who is questionable for tonight’s game, has played well thus far. He has 12 tackles, three PD, and two picks. CB Damarious Randall, who is also questionable, has defended four passes, taken down one interception, and recovered a fumble. Corner Terrance Mitchell comes to the game with two forced fumbles, while DT Larry Ogunjobi’s three sacks tops the team. He’s also made 11 TKLs.

Cleveland Offense vs Jets D

The Browns have scored just 19.5 PPG. Of their 356.5 YPG in offense, 135.0 have been rushing yards. The other 221.5 have been passing. Cleveland QB Tyrod Taylor (52.9 COMP%, 2 TDs, 2 INTs) has already been sacked 10 times and fumbled three times. He’s exceptionally vulnerable. His favorite target, Jarvis Landry, may not play tonight. Landry has 12 catches with four being 20-plus yards. He’s averaging 14.6 YPC. If he does not play, that will be a major negative development for the Browns. RB Carlos Hyde has been struggling. He’s averaging merely 2.8 YPA. He’s made two rushing TDs.

The Jets have allowed just 18.5 PPG. They’ve given up on average 321.0 YPG with 234.0 through the air. New York has held opponents to 87.0 ground yards per game. The Jet defense has notched 12 PD, five picks, and five TFL. They’ve also made four sacks. LB Darron Lee has totaled three PD, two INTs, and 11 TKLs. Safety Jamal Adams’ stats include 13 TKLs, three PD, and one pick. He’s also forced a fumble.

Week Three Jets Play Browns NFL Pick

The Jets look to be poised to take this game. They may be in the best shape as far as team health is concerned. Also, their defense and QB situation is more promising. Our Week Three Jets play Browns NFL pick is NY at +3.0. We also like the under at 41.0.

Summary Jets at Browns Picks: NY at +3.0 and under 41.0

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pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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