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Saturday Night Free NHL “Total” Play

A Solid Play In Toronto Tonight With Flyers / Maple Leafs

With all the hub-bub of a busy Saturday afternoon college football slate, it’s the best time of the year to sneak in an under-the-radar NHL total play. For the 10/28 NHL free pick we have what could be a potential high flying affair in the works as the Philadelphia Flyers take on the Toronto Maple Leafs. When you combine surging offensive stars and plunging goaltender play than it gives the play even more confidence.

As for the side, a heavy portion of the action is on Toronto. Philadelphia is playing on the road for only the second time in nearly 17 days and the Maple Leafs have been home for over a week. Toronto has actually lost two of their last three – but heads out on a roadie for four straight games after tonight which increases the sense of urgency. You can join the 67% or more of the public on the Maple Leafs at -155 but there’s much more value in the 10/28 NHL free pick on the total.

Where Are The Flyers At In This?

10/28 NHL Free Pick
Sean Couturier has been putting the biscuit in the basket lately. “Dental plan, Lisa needs braces.”

It’s easy to get scared off of an ‘over’ bet when you see that Philadelphia has the #1 defense in the NHL in terms of shots against at just 28.1 per game. That’s a big picture stat however, in the last two games the Flyers have allowed 11 goals. It doesn’t matter who Philly is throwing in net either – Michael Neuvirth gave up five goals on 28 shots to Ottawa last game while the outing prior Brian Elliott let six pucks slip past on only 25 attempts on the net.

The 10/28 NHL free pick is leaning towards the over not only because Philly allows them – but also because they score them with the #9 squad in both goals and shots on offense. The Flyers should be able to slip a few by a Toronto team that is 26th in goals against and allows the 20th most shots in the NHL (33.2)

Toronto Is Not Worried

10/28 NHL Free Pick
Whatever Maple Leafs goalie Frederik Andersen has been doing lately is the opposite of ‘standing on your head’

Auston Matthews and the rest of the Toronto offense has their eyes wide open with Philly’s recent goaltending issues considering the Maple Leafs have the #1 squad in the NHL in goals scored, the #3 power play, and the #7 team in shots on goal. Matthews has goals in three of the last four games.

Everything is coming up roses for the ‘over’ but at the same time it’s important to remember that the Flyers still boast the #1 defense in shots against and are 12th overall in goals allowed. Luckily, the Maple Leafs goaltending situation can counter any of that negativity on the total for the 10/28 NHL free pick. Frederik Anderson has allowed 6,2, and 5 goals in his last three games.

10/28 NHL Free Pick – Betting

Hitting the ‘over’ in the 10/28 NHL free pick got a bit harder as oddsmakers set the number at “6” instead of the common 5.5 tally. Either way, when you take into account the effectiveness of Matthews on offense for the Maple Leafs as well as well as Sean Couturier for the Flyers (3 goals in last two games) combined with the ineffectiveness of both squads in goal recently it’s still a confident pick. In a heavy college football betting day, let’s see a 7-6 game by the Eagles and Argonauts in this one.

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers / Toronto Maple Leafs *Over 6

 

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I’ve learned from 20 years as a sports bettor.

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