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NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns

Packers Look for Second Straight Win as they Meet Winless Browns

The Green Bay Packers (6-6 Overall, 2-3 Away) play the Cleveland Browns (0-12 Overall, 0-6 Home) today at 1 p.m. E.T. Our Packers play Browns 2017 NFL free pick has Green Bay at -2.5 and the over/under at 39.0. Over the past five games, the Pack has gone 2-3, while the Browns have not won a game all season. The Browns last lost to the LA Chargers 19-10. Green Bay won their last game, beating Tampa Bay 26-20 in OT.

Green Bay Overall

The Packers are averaging 21.5 PPG, while they are allowing 23.4 PPG. Two rookie running backs, Aaron Jones (71 ATT, 390 YDs, 5.5 AVG, 4 TDs) and Jamaal Williams (91 ATT, 337 YDs, 3.7 AVG, 3 TDs), will be carrying the ball for the Pack. QB Brett Hundley has rushed for two TDs averaging 8.4 YPA. Hundley has been inconsistent as a passer. He’s tossed five touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Top receivers are Randall Cobb, Devante Adams and Jordy Nelson who together have a total of 15 TD catches. The Pack O-line has given up 42 sacks.

The Packer defense has performed well. They have 29 sacks, 53 TFL, and 10 FF. In addition, the defense has notched 46 PD and nine INTs. CB Damarious Randall has four picks and seven PD, while LB Blake Martinez leads the team with 110 tackles. Safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, who is second in tackles with 63, has grabbed two interceptions and defended four passes. There are some important injuries on defense, which could hamper performance today.

Packers Summary

  • Solid rush attack
  • Good defense
  • QB complications with Rodgers out

Cleveland Overall

The Cleveland Browns are scoring just 14.7 PPG. Rookie QB DeShone Kizer (52.5 COMP%, 6 TDs, 15 INTs) is struggling. Kizer, who’s averaging 5.2 YPA, has rushed for five TDs. TE David Njoku leads the team in TD catches with four. WR Duke Johnson Jr. tops the team in receptions 52 receptions. He has two TD grabs.

The Browns D is giving up 25.7 PPG. They have just six INTs, but they have forced 13 fumbles, made 67 TFL and 57 PD. They also have 24 sacks. CB Jason McCourty is a top performer with three INTs and a dozen PD. LB Joe Schobert leads the club in tackles with 113 and three FF. LB Derrick Kindred with 10 TFL is tough on the run.

Browns Overall

  • Lacking in offense
  • QB woes
  • Defense is tough versus the run

Three Prime Takeaways

Our Packers play Browns 2017 NFL free pick offers these insights-

  1. Neither team has much of a pass attack
  2. Packer D has the edge
  3. Browns have edge on FF

Our Green Bay at Cleveland Picks

The Packers are at -2.5. We think they have a good shot of winning this game. Our Packers play Browns 2017 NFL free pick is Green Bay at -2.5. The over/under is low at 39.5, but we’re still going to take the under. There’s a major lack of offense on the Browns and the Pack is often struggling to score.

Packers and Browns Spread and Totals Summary- Green Bay at -2.5 and under 39.5


Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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