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College Football Week 14 Pick – Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Spread and O/U Picks as Bulldogs Have Thanksgiving Edge

Our Ole Miss vs Mississippi State pick offers has Mississippi State at -2.5. This Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs pick also notes that the over/under is 58.0. This is a big SEC rivalry. In the course of the last 10 games of this rivalry, the Bulldogs have won six. They have also won two of the last three. The Ole Miss Rebels (4-7 overall, 2-5 SEC) are sixth, next to last, in the SEC West. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6 overall, 2-5 SEC) are one notch above the Rebels, sitting in the fifth-place in the West.

Our NCAAF SEC West pick notes that Ole Miss has lost four of their last five games. Their last game was a 58-37 loss to LSU on November 16. Mississippi State is 2-3 for their last five. That includes a 36-13 loss to LSU on October 19. The Bulldogs won their last contest 45-7 over Abilene Christian. That was on November 23. This game will be played November 28, 2019 at 7:30 PM ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Pick – Stats

This Ole Miss vs Mississippi State pick notes that these teams are similar in one way, they are both scoring and giving up about the same number of points. The Rebels are scoring 27 PPG and allowing 27.2 PPG. On the other hand, the Bulldogs are scoring on average 28.2 PPG and allowing opponents 28.8 PPG.

The Rebels are averaging 450.8 YPG on offense, including 261.5 YPG on the ground. They are averaging 189.4 YPG in the air. The Ole Miss defense is allowing 293.7 YPG in the air and another 132.0 YPG on the ground. As a consequence, that total comes to 425.7 defensive YPG. The Bulldogs are putting up fewer yards than the Rebels, but, on the other end, allowing fewer than Ole Miss on defense. The Dogs are putting up 410.6 YPG on offense and holding teams to 390.5 defensive YPG. On offense, the totals are 228.5 YPG running and 182.2 YPG passing. Mississippi State is holding opponents to 241.0 air YPG. They’re giving up 149.5 YPG rushing.

Rebels vs Bulldogs – Players

Freshman QBs Matt Corral and John Rhys Plumlee have been sharing duties. Corral’s passing stats are a bit better than Plumlee’s. However, although he’s not an accurate passer, Plumlee is the team’s top rusher. As a runner, he’s crossed the goal line 11 times and is averaging 7.3 YPA. The Rebels have three other running backs who each have five TDs. Elijah Moore is the team’s top receiver with 64 receptions, 815 yards, and five pass catches.

The Bulldogs also feature two QBs, freshman Garrett Shrader and senior Tommy Stevens. Stevens is a better passer, but Shrader is a more productive rusher. RB Kylin Hill is this team’s scorer. Hill has 10 rushing TDs on 208 carries. He gained a total of 1,215 yards on the ground and is averaging 5.8 YPA. Three receivers have 23 or more catches and a total of 11 TD receptions. Junior WR Osirus Mitchell leads the team with 27 catches and five TDs.

Our Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Pick

Our Ole Miss vs Mississippi State pick is for both the spread and over/under. With two weak defenses and two productive offenses, we expect these teams to be able to score. We’re going with the over at 58.0. Also, our point spread pick is the Bulldogs at -2.5.

Our Rebels vs Bulldogs Pick – Summary

Mississippi State Bulldogs at -2.5 and over 58.0


Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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