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NFL Pick: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs


The Buffalo Bills head into Arrowhead Stadium Sunday for their week 12 match-up versus the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs have won the last two meetings versus the Bills covering the spread in both games but previous to that the Chiefs had lost 5 of 6 meetings versus the Bills failing to cover the spread in all 6 games.

Head to Head Trends

Chiefs are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 meetings.
Bills are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Buffal Bills and KC ChiefsKansas City Chiefs (-4.5)

The Kansas City Chiefs are 2nd in the AFC West with a 5-5 record 3 wins back of the 8-2 Denver Broncos. The Chiefs had a good week 1 beating the Houston Texans in Houston and I think a lot of people thought they were going to be a contender in the AFC West but that didn’t last long as they then went on to lose their next 5 games and they also lost their star running back Jamaal Charles in the process.

It looked like the Chiefs were done for the season but man have they come back strong winning their last 4 games and winning big too outscoring their opponents 120-39. Over their last 3 games the Chiefs are averaging 35.7 points per game on offense and their defense has also turned into one of the best defenses in the league allowing just 232 yards and 8.7 points per game over the last 3 games.

Kansas City Chiefs Trends

Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Buffalo Bills (+4.5)

The Buffalo Bills are 3rd in the AFC East with a 5-5 record 5 wins behind the 1st place New England Patriots. The Bills aren’t a horrible team but they aren’t exactly a good team either. Their defense is fairly solid allowing 350 yards and 22.7 points per game but they are kind of lacking on offense averaging just 340 yards and 24.4 points per game. Away from home their offense is even worse averaging just 309 yards per game although they have still managed to put up 22.5 points per game.

Buffalo Bills Trends

Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Bills are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.


I like the Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 at Vietbet over the Bills in this one. The Chiefs are playing great on both sides of the ball and just destroying teams right now. I think the Bills are going to have a hard time getting anything going today especially on offense so if the Chiefs can manage to put up a few points I don’t think they will have any problems covering the -4.5 points.

Free Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -4.5


Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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