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MLB Pick: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

The New York Yankees head to the Rogers Centre in Toronto for a three game series with the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays and Yankees have played 12 times so far this season with the Yankees holding a 7 to 5 edge in wins. The Yankees have struggled slightly at Toronto recently winning just 5 of the last 13 meetings there.

Head to Head Trends

Yankees are 22-10 in the last 32 meetings.
Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Toronto Blue Jays (-109)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the American League East 2.5 games behind the 2nd place New York Yankees and 9.5 games behind the 1st place Baltimore Orioles. At one point this season the Blue Jays had one of the most feared offenses in baseball leading the league in homeruns by a fairly big margin but their homerun bats have cooled off and they are now 4th in homeruns with 147 that’s 23 behind the Orioles who now have 170. The Blue Jays are 5 games over .500 at home this season at 35-30. At home they average 4.63 runs per game on offense and allow 4.49 runs per game on defense. On the hill for the Blue Jays Today is lefty Mark Buehrle who is 11-8 with a 3.41 ERA on the season. The Blue Jays are actually 18-8 in Buehrle’s starts this season and that puts Buehrle 5th in starting pitchers profit. If you bet $100 on every one of Buehrle’s starts you would be up over $1000.

Toronto Blue Jays Trends

Blue Jays are 8-3 in Buehrles last 11 home starts.
Blue Jays are 19-5 in Buehrles last 24 starts as a favorite.

derek jeter timeNew York Yankees (-101)

The New York Yankees are 2nd in the American League East 7 games back of the 1st place Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees are 6 games over .500 on the season with 69 wins and 63 losses. The Yankees have won 6 of their last 8 games but 4 of those wins did come against the Astros and White Sox who both suck so not sure how much weight we can put into those wins. The Yankees haven’t really been doing much against good teams lately winning just 9 of their last 22 games versus teams above .500. Starting for the Yankees today is lefty Chris Capuano who is 1-3 with a 4.47 in 6 starts with the Yankees.

New York Yankees Trends

Yankees are 6-13 in their last 19 vs. American League East.
Yankees are 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Conclusion

I like the Blue Jays to beat the Yankees in this one today. The Blue Jays bats are on the verge of busting out in a big way plus they Have Buehrle on the mound and he hasn’t exactly been super over the second half of the season but the Jays do tend to win when he pitches.

Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -109

Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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