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MLB Monday May 30th Marlins at Rockies Betting Preview

Colorado Back Home After Lengthy Road Trip

After another struggling road trip, Colorado is back at home for the May 30th Marlins at Rockies betting matchup. Bud Black’s squad was just 2-5 in visits to Pittsburgh and Washington and are now 7-15 in away games this year after being 26-54 in 2021. The Rockies are 14-11 at Coors Field however.

Miami visits Denver as losers of 7 of their last 9, and are just 1-4 on their current road swing. Pitching has been a bit of a concern for the Marlins with 5+ runs allowed in three of their last four – not a good trend when heading to the Rocky Mountains.

It is a bit cooler in Denver on Monday with a wind blowing in from center field, but the run total is still 10.5 and with Miami an interesting -150 favorite.  Colorado is +130 at home, but 71% of the public still like the Marlins.

Oddsmakers Like Lopez for Miami

The big reason Miami is the road favorite on Monday afternoon is because Pablo Lopez (4-2, 2.04 ERA gets the start. The right-hander was dominant in April (3-0, 0.39 ERA) but has looked human in May (1-2, 3.34 ERA). Lopez also has also gone 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA in two starts vs. the Rockies in his career, but this will be his first time pitching at Coors Field.

Jorge Soler hit two HRs on Sunday, but the Marlins still fell 6-3 to the Braves as those two bombs accounted for all 3 of Miami’s runs. Soler hopes to keep the power stroke going over the next three games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. He needs to get some help though, with Jazz Chisholm going 0-5 on Sunday in his return from a hamstring injury.

The Marlins did get a 2-2 day on Sunday from Nic Fortes in his 2022 debut and Miguel Rojas is coming around with a .385 average over the past week. A series in Coors Field is a great opportunity for Miami’s #20 ranked scoring offense (4.07 runs/game) to pad their stats a bit.

Big Blackmon Night?

Colorado was just 2-5 on their recent road swing, but Charlie Blackmon hit .375 the past week going 9-24 with a HR and 5 RBI. While Lopez is a good pitcher for Miami, Blackmon has feasted on him in his career going 4-6 (.667) while Randal Grichuk is 2-2 vs. the Marlins starter with both hits being solo HR.

The bad news is that’s about the extent of it, as the rest of the Rockies roster is 4 for 26 (.153) vs. Lopez. Brendan Rogers does have a 16-game hit streak going, Jose Iglesias 10, and five different Colorado batters have hit better than .300 over the past week – on the road. The May 30th Marlins at Rockies betting matchup should be fruitful – for the Colorado offense at least.

Pitching is a big question mark for the Rockies on Monday as Ryan Feltner (0-1, 5.40 ERA) makes just his 3rd start of the season and 5th in his career. Feltner pitched both games on the road this season, giving up 4 ER to the Phillies and 2ER to the Pirates – both in 5.0 IP of work and each a Rockies loss.

Free May 30th Marlins at Rockies Betting Pick

Lopez isn’t the same pitcher he was in April and Monday afternoon marks his first ever trip to Coors Field. That alone should give the Rockies value as +130 home underdogs, but just good for measure a play on the ‘over’ 10.5 should be made because we don’t know what to expect from Feltner on the mound for Colorado either.

Free Pick: Rockies +130
Free Pick: Over 10.5

 

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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