The Capital One Orange Bowl will be played Saturday, Dec 30 at 8 p.m. E.T. in Miami Florida. Featuring the #6 Wisconsin Badgers (12-1) and the #10 Miami Hurricanes (10-2), this bowl game should offer fans and bettors a lot of excitement. Our Wisconsin plays Miami 2017 Orange Bowl pick has the Badgers favored by 6.5 and the over/under at 45.0. Wisconsin comes to this bowl game after finishing first in the Big Ten West with a 9-0 record and then playing against and losing to #8 Ohio State 27-21 in the conference championship contest. The Hurricanes took the ACC Coastal Conference with a 7-1 record and then lost the title match to #1 Clemson 38-3.
The Badgers are scoring 33.8 PPG. In doing so, their primary focus is on the running game, as they are averaging 229 YPG on the ground. RB Jonathan Taylor (273 ATT, 1,847 YDs, 6.8 AVG, 13 TDs) is very dangerous and can ably break a big play or two in a game. Four other runners offer better-than-adequate backup. QB Alex Hornibrook (61.6 COMP%, 21 TDs, 15 INTs) can be hot and cold. There’s a good chance he’ll put up at least one pick through the air today. His two favorite guys to too to are Troy Fumagalli and Quintez Cephus. Together they have scored 10 TDs.
Wisconsin has one of the finest defenses in college football. They are limiting opponents to 93 yards on the ground, 161 yards in the air, and 13.2 PPG. They bring a smothering D that ably controls the line of scrimmage, harasses quarterbacks, and stops opponent running games cold.
- They will run
- Must limit QB mistakes
- Defense could win this game
The Hurricanes are good for 29.5 PPG. They offer a solid balance of passing and rushing. QB Malik Rosier (54.8 COMP%, 25 TDs, 11 INTs) will be looking for WR Braxton Berrios (52 REC, 634 YDs, 12.2 AVG, 9 TDs) throughout the entire game. Rosier is a decent rusher, averaging 3.5 YPA and scoring five rushing TDs. The two top running backs on the Miami team are Travis Homer and Mark Walton. Homer is averaging 6.0 YPA and has seven TDs, while Walton is good for 7.6 YPA and has three scores.
Miami is holding teams to 19.9 PPG. They are allowing opponents 146 yards on the ground and 214 in the air. Although not quite as limiting as the Badger D, the Hurricanes can get the job done. However, as the game goes on, they can start to wear down and become vulnerable to the big play.
- Miami will run a lot
- Air attack is productive
- Defense can give up big play
Three One Orange Bowl Takeaways
Here are our three major observation for our Wisconsin plays Miami 2017 Orange Bowl pick-
- QB edge to Miami
- RB situations fairly equal
- Big edge for Badger D
Our 2017 Capital One Orange Bowl Pick
In creating our Wisconsin plays Miami 2017 Orange Bowl pick, we can’t help but notice how low the over/under is. It is down in the cellar at 45.0. It’s so low, we just have to take the over. Also, we certainly like Wisconsin at -3.0.