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2019 NFL Most Receiving TD Prop Bets :

A Lot of Change at the Receiver / TE Position Heading Into 2019/20

Of all the 2019 NFL season prop bets, ones involving pass catchers look to be the most interesting. It’s going to be a statistical category defined by change for the upcoming year. Receiving favorites such as Odell Beckham, Jr. and Antonio Brown have switched teams, Rob Gronkowski and Doug Baldwin have retired, A.J. Green is hurt, and the list goes on. All this fluctuation is a good thing though, as it provides the opportunity for some real value in regards to 2019 NFL most receiving TD prop bets. Here are some of those plays:

Davante Adams 6/1

Aaron Rodgers played all 16 games in 2018 and threw for ‘only’ 25 TD’s, his lowest total in a full season in his career. Rodgers should have more say in the offense under rookie coach Matt LaFleur and in that case Davante Adams should thrive. It’s not like Adams had a bad ’18 either with 111 catches, 1386 yards, and 13 TD which were the second most in the league. Simply put, there’s not many other threats in the Green Bay passing game save for maybe Jimmy Graham – who had just 2 TD catches a year ago.

Davante Adams should see a ton of targets from Rodgers again this season.

JuJu Smith-Schuster 16/1

JuJu Smith-Schuster will get every opportunity to be ‘the man’ in the Pittsburgh passing game in 2019. Antonio Brown and his 104 catches and 15 TD are off to Oakland. That opens up 168 targets that went to Brown last season. Smith-Schuster actually had more catches (111) and yards (1,426) than Brown in ’18. Some would argue that the attention that Brown got from opposing defenses allowed Smith-Schuster to be so productive but AB’s loss leaves a lot of numbers to replace either way.

Mike Evans 22/1

Mike Evans fought through some injury issues in the preseason but he should be eager to get back for week 1. Evans has a nice payout in the 2019 NFL most receiving TD prop bets – or at least has the potential for a big season under new coach Bruce Arians. Larry Fitzgerald had 161 targets in ’17, so Arians knows how to get his star wideout the ball. Evans had just 8 TDs a year ago, but the duo of Desean Jackson and Adam Humphries (9 TD total) are gone. Also gone is QB Ryan Fitzpatrick whose 8 games played in ’18 gave the Bucs a lot of inconsistency under center.

Tyler Lockett 35/1

Tyler Lockett had a very underappreciated 10 TD catches in 2018. What’s more impressive about the Seahawks wideouts numbers is that they came on just 57 catches and only 70 targets. Russell Wilson’s security blanket Doug Baldwin (618 yards, 5TD) was forced to retire for medical reasons in the offseason which means it’s Lockett’s time to shine in the passing game. The other top receivers on the Seahawks depth chart for 2019 and their stats from a year ago include:

  • Jaron Brown (14 catches, 5TDs)
  • Malik Turner (2 catches, 20 yards)
  • Amara Darboh (inactive for 2018)
  • D.K. Metcalf (’19 2nd round draft pick)

The Sehawks are still going to throw the ball, and Lockett is the clear #1 option.

2019 NFL prop bets
Lockett is poised for a huge season in the Seahawks passing game.

George Kittle / Hunter Henry 65/1

There’s really good value on a couple West Coast tight ends who could potentially be at the top of the 2019 NFL most receiving TD prop bets at 65:1 odds. The only thing you worry about with George Kittle is that he regresses with Jimmy Garoppollo back under center. Kittle developed a very good rapport with backup QB Nick Mullens as he had 88 catches on 136 targets a year ago. Those numbers included just 5 TD catches but Kittle should be an even bigger part of the passing game this season now that he’s established.

Hunter Henry enters 2019 healthy and in a pass heavy L.A. Chargers offense. There should be a lot of targets for Henry this year especially if Melvin Gordon’s holdout lasts into the season. The Chargers have a lot of mouths to feed between Keenan Allen and Mike Williams but Phillip Rivers finally has a legit TE to target with the overdue retirement of Antonio Gates and Henry stepping into his spot.

2019 NFL Most Receiving TD Prop Bets

The quest for the 2019 NFL most receiving TD prop bets is a deep one this year. There are some dark horses like John Ross who had 7 TD on 21 catches a year ago and who is playing in a Bengals offense missing A.J. Green. That provides value to be had and the ultimate conclusion that the season needs to get here already.

 

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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