Our Tennessee vs Vanderbilt totals pick features two teams that battled to a 76-76 tie in regulation time on January 23. That game ended with the Vols winning in OT 88-83. The #5 Tennessee Volunteers (23-2 Overall, 11-1 SEC) are on top of the SEC and a national contender. They’ve won 19 or their last 20. That one loss was to #5 Kentucky on Feb 16. The score was 86-69. The Vanderbilt Commodores (9-16 Overall, 12-0 SEC) have lost 13 straight games and are without a SEC win. Which way will thia game go, as our Tennessee vs Vanderbilt totals pick has the over/under at 147.5. We’re leaning heavily on the under in this one.
Our Tennessee vs Vanderbilt totals pick notes that in the last eight of 11 games between these two teams, the over has been achieved. In their last meeting, 152 points were scored in regulation time. However, in Vandy games on the road against Tennessee, the under has dominated. In 10 of 13 games, totals have come in under. Also, in four of their last five games and five-of-seven on the road, the Commodores have gone under. For the Vols, they’ve hit the over in four of their last six games, but at home, they have gone under in four of their last five contests.
The trend, overall, for Vandy and the Vols has been under, and we do think that looks good when considering the totals in this game.
Both teams have solid defenses. Tennessee is giving up merely 68.3 PPG. At the same time, Vanderbilt is allowing 72.8. With those stats in mind, both lean towards the under. Also, the Commodores are scoring on average just 72.1 PPG. Tennessee could keep that total down. If they do hold the Commodores to around 66 points and put up their typical 85, the game would come in under. In seven of their last nine games, Tennessee has scored 88 or fewer points. Also, in 13 of their last 15 games, Vandy has scored 67 or fewer points. In our Tennessee vs Vanderbilt totals pick, these stats also indicate the under.
Keys to the Over/Under
Commodore point total stays low, as Vols defense creates TOs
Vandy offense not very sure-handed, offers up too many TOs
Commodore defense good enough to control Volunteer point total
Tennessee adept at stealing ball
Vanderbilt offense does not have that player who can put them over the top
Our Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Totals Pick
As you can probably tell, we do like the under in this one. There are too many indications that this game will bottom out in the low 140s. Our Tennessee vs Vanderbilt totals pick is under 147.5. This is a 7 pm ET start at the Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, TN.