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NFL Pick – New England Patriots vs New York Jets

MNF Features Struggling Pats and Jets

Our Monday Night Football New England vs NY Jets pick has the Patriots favored. New England is at -9.5 (-105). The Jets are the underdog at +10.0 (-115). The Patriots come to tonight’s game having lost four straight contests. They last played on November 1, losing to the Buffalo Bills 24-21. New England is 2-5 overall and sits in third place in the AFC East. The New York Jets have yet to win a game this season. The team, which occupies last-place in the AFC East at 0-8, last played the Kansas City Chiefs. They lost to the 2020 Super Bowl Champions 35-9.

This Monday Night Football game tops off week-nine play for the NFL. Kickoff will be 8:15 pm ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The weather forecast is clear with winds at 3mph and temperatures in the low 60s.

New England vs NY Jets Pick – Offenses

Thus far this season, the Patriot offense has been uneven and lowkey. They’re averaging just 19.4 PPG. The team is accumulating 159.7 ground yards per game and 205.0 air yards per game. If the Pats’ stats are low, then NY’s are dismal. The Jets are averaging 11.8 PPG with under 300 offensive yards per contest. New York has been good for only 180.3 YPG in passing and 103.1 YPG in rushing.

Patriots Offense

QB Cam Newton comes to tonight’s game with just two TDs and seven INTs. He’s been sacked 12 times. Newton, the team’s leading rusher, has 298 ground yards and 5.1 YPA. This season, Newton’s scored six rushing TDs. The receiving corps has been hot by injuries. WR Damiere Byrd is one of the team’s top receivers with 21 catches and 272 yards. He’ll play tonight.

Jets Offense

QB Sam Darnold, like Newton, has struggled this season. He’s passed for three TDs while being sacked 19 times and tossing six picks. One of the team’s top receivers, Braxton Berrios, comes to the game with two TD catches and 23 receptions. RB Frank Gore has rushed for 340 yards on 96 carries, averaging 3.1 YPA.

Patriots vs Jets Spread Pick – Defenses

Our New England vs NY Jets pick notes that neither defense is performing in a premium manner. The Patriots are allowing opponents 23.9 PPG. Although not a stellar stat, it’s much better than NY’s 29.8 defensive PPG.

The Patriots are giving up 368.4 defensive YPG. Their run defense is a real liability, as opponents are averaging 140.4 YPG on the ground. Top performers on D include safety Devin McCourty, who has two picks and four PD, and DE Chase Winovich, who has accumulated 4.5 TFL and 2.5 sacks.

At the same time, the Jets are allowing opponents 406.5 YPG. Although the Jets are solid against the rush, they have struggled versus the pass, giving up 290.4 air-YPG. Safety Marcus Maye (2 Sacks, 4 TFL, 4 PD, 1 INT) and corners Brian Poole (0 Sacks, 2.5 TFL, 7 PD, 3 INTs) and Pierre Desir (1 Sack, 2 TFL, 7 PD, 2 INTs) are sound defenders. DT Quinnen Williams comes to the game with three sacks and 8.5 TFL.

New England vs NY Jets Pick – Final Word

Our New England vs NY Jets pick finds that the Pats have been hampered by offseason losses and injuries. At the same time, the Jets are undermanned. Consequently, we think that New England will win this game, but we don’t think they will cover. Thus, we like the NY Jets at +10.0 (-115).

New England Patriots vs New York Jets Summary

New York Jets at +10.0 (-115)

pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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