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May 1st Wednesday NBA Playoffs Free Pick: Trail Blazers at Nuggets

Can Portland Steal One at the Pepsi Center in Game 2?

The Trail Blazers and Nuggets meet up again in Game 2 of their 2nd round playoff series. Denver is a -4 favorite at the Pepsi Center in the May 1st NBA playoffs free pick. That’s a very appealing line for the home team considering the Nuggets scored a 121-113 victory in Game 1. Do the 4 points look too easy for Denver to cover however?

Portland Had Some Moments in Game 1

May 1st NBA playoffs free pick
Portland needs more from McCollum in Game 2.

The Trail Blazers were tied after the 1st quarter in Game 1 and were down by just 3 at the half but ultimately fell 113-121. There were a few bright spots in the series opener however, mostly 39 points on 12-21 shooting from Damian Lillard. Enes Kanter was also solid, scoring 26 points despite his status being iffy due to a separated shoulder. Portland actually outscored Denver 56-50 in the paint and outrebounded them 40-34. This is a good omen considering the front court is expected to be a huge advantage for the Nuggets this series.

Now to some things Portland will need to do better in the May 1st NBA playoffs free pick. First off CJ McCollum had a rare down night as his 16 points was a postseason low thus far. The Trail Blazers also had just 7 fast break points in Game 1. The Trail Blazers defense giving up 121 points to Denver wasn’t ideal either. It was the 3rd time in the last 4 games Portland has allowed at least 115 points. The O/U for Wednesday’s game is 219.5, up from 215 in Game 1.

Denver Looks to Follow Same Game Plan Wednesday

May 1st NBA playoffs free pick
Jokic manhandled Portland on Monday night.

The Nuggets cemented their Game 1 win by outscoring Portland by 9 points in the 2nd and 3rd quarter. They got a huge night from Nikola Jokic who went for 37 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists. Jokic has stepped it up in the last three games of the postseason as Monday’s performance followed 21/15/10 and 43/12/9 games in the last two matchups with the Spurs in Round 1. In two games vs. Portland at the Pepsi Center during the regular season, Jokic went for 22/13/9 and 40/10/8.

Of course Denver is more than just a one man wrecking crew. Jamal Murray had 23 points in Game 1 and Paul Millsap chipped in 19. This versatility is what makes Denver such a tempting wager at -4 in the May 1st NBA playoffs free pick. Denver also went 3-1 vs. Portland during the regular season but their margin of victory was just a combined 13 points in the 3 wins. That includes a 119-110 win at the Pepsi Center on April 5th.

May 1st NBA Playoffs Free Pick Betting

Denver being 4 point favorites on Wednesday seems like a solid play. Taking the points and Portland might have better value on the Trail Blazers winning outright at +180. Either way if the Nuggets do get the win, it could easily be by 8-10 points or more – or at least 4.

NBA Playoffs Free Pick: Denver Nuggets -4

Carl Taylor

Every loss is a chance to learn a lesson. That being said, wins are so much more enjoyable. Follow along to tap into the wisdom I've learned from 20 years as a sports bettor. Follow along on Twitter for more picks and DFS news @dailydogsports.

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