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NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants

KC Tries To Get Back on Track Against Listless Giants

At 1 p.m. E.T. today, the Kansas City Chiefs (6-3 Overall, 3-2 Away) are at the New York Giants (1-8 Overall, 0-4 Home). The Chiefs have had a rough stretch, going 2-3 for their last five with close losses to Pittsburgh and Oakland and a 28-17 beating by Dallas in their last game two weeks ago. They are coming off their bye-week. The Giants are 1-4 for their last five. Their one win came on Oct. 15 when they beat the Broncos at Denver 23-10. Since then the Seattle Seahawks, Los Angles Rams, and San Francisco 49ers have blown them out. To say they have been struggling would be an understatement. Our Kansas City plays New York 2017 NFL pick has the Chiefs at -10.0 and the over/under at 45.0.

Kansas City- Pluses and Minuses

The Chiefs have a solid air game and ground attack. They’ve averaging 28.1 PPG. Their 23.1 PPG on defense is more than they would like. As of late, they’ve had a tough time containing opponent offenses. QB Alex Smith has tossed 18 TD passes and one interception. He’s completed 69.6% of his passes. But he’s vulnerable to the sack, having been brought down 24 times this season.

KC has two dual-threats on offense, first-year RB Kareem Hunt (155 ATT, 800 YDs, 5.2 YPA, 4 TDs) and second-year WR Tyreek Hill (40 REC, 617 YDs, 15.4 YPC, 4 TDs). Hunt has 32 pass catches and two receiving TDs and is averaging 10.3 YPC. Hill has run the ball 13 times for a 2.4 YPA. TE Travis Kelce continues to be the top receiver for KC with 51 catches, five touchdowns, and a 12.3 yards per catch average.

The Chiefs D could do better at rushing the passer, but they have a solid secondary that has eight interceptions, and they’ve forced eight fumbles, recovered five, and have two TDs. They also have 34 TFL and 43 PD. CB Marcus Peters has grabbed three picks, defended five passes, and forced two fumbles. He also has a TD.

Chiefs Summary

  • Smith needs to elude pass rush
  • Offense can run and pass well
  • KC secondary is top-notch

New York- Pluses and Minuses

The Giants are averaging just 16.7 PPG while allowing 26.4. Sometimes this team’s offense can’t get started. Odell Beckham was lost to injury weeks ago, and it’s been announced that another top receiver, Sterling Shepard, will not play today. TE Evan Engram, who has 40 receptions with five going for touchdowns, will play. Qb Eli Manning (64.6 COMP%, 14 TDs, 6 INTs, 22 Sacks) has had his ups and downs this season. He’s attempting to run an offense that is badly depleted. Orleans Darkwa will try to make some headway with the rush attack. He’s averaging 5.1 YPA and has one TD.

The numbers for the NY defense are simply not good. They’ve recorded just 13 sacks, 29 TFL, and Four picks. The best thing they have going for them is their eight forced fumbles and five recoveries. Safety Landon Collins has played well this season. He leads the team in tackles with 56 and has four passes defended, one interception, and a forced fumble and recovery.

Giants Summary

  • Team is hurting when it comes to receivers
  • Defense is mediocre at best
  • Rush attack is weak

Three Major Takeaways

Below we offer our trio of takeaways for our Kansas City plays New York 2017 NFL pick.

  1. KC QB vs. NY QB, Chiefs have edge
  2. KC D vs. NY D, we like KC
  3. KC ground Game vs. NY ground game, take Chiefs

Our KC at NY Pick

The Chiefs, like the Giants, do have injury issues and come to this game with a weakened receiving corps and defense. Still, the Chiefs are the superior team, and that’s despite recent struggles. In our Kansas City plays New York 2017 NFL pick, we are taking the Chiefs at -10.0 and the under at 45.0

Chiefs Play Giants 2017 NFL Free Picks: KC at -10.0 and under 45.0

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pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He’s written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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