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NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens

Ravens Need a Win Versus Struggling Colts to Stay in Wild Card Hunt

There are two Saturday games in the NFL this week, and the first has the Indianapolis Colts (3-11 Overall, 1-6 Away) at the Baltimore Ravens (8-6 Overall, 4-2 Home). Our Indianapolis plays Baltimore 2017 NFL pick has the Ravens favored by anywhere from 13.0 to 14.5 and the totals at 41.0. The Colts have lost five straight games with their last win being 20-14 against Houston on Nov 5. The Ravens, who have a shot at a wild card spot, have gone 4-1 for their last five games with the one loss being 39-38 to the AFC North Division winning Pittsburgh Steelers.

Indianapolis Overall

Although over the course of the season the Colts have averaged 16.1 PPG, in their last five contests, they have scored just 10.6 PPG. On average this season, they are giving up 26.3 PPG. QB Jacoby Brissett (59.6 COMP%, 11 TDs, 7 INTs) has O-line and mobility issues. He’s been sacked 49 times this season. He has rushed for four TDs while averaging 4.3 YPA. Both stats top any numbers put up by Colt running backs. Brissett will be wanting to connect with WR T.Y. Hilton, who has 48 catches for 852 yards and four TDs, and TE Jack Doyle, who comes to this game with 71 receptions for 611 yards and three scores.

The Indy secondary is fairly solid. They’ve managed to grab a dozen picks while defending 63 passes. The team’s sacks total a dismal 22 and their TFL stand at 47. They have forced 10 fumbles, recovering three. A few things to consider, the Colts will be without two of their top defenders, CB Rasheen Melvin (3 INTs, 13 PD) and LB Jon Bostic (97 TCKLs, 7 TFL, 3 PD).

Colts Summary

  • QB Brissett is struggling
  • Defense weak and suffering important losses
  • Colts need solid performances from receivers

Baltimore Overall

The Ravens are averaging 24.6 PPG on offense, but in their last five games that average has popped up to 31.0 PPG. They are holding opponents to 18.3 PPG. RB Alex Collins (174 ATT, 844 YDs, 4.9 AVG, 5 TDs), as well as RB Javorius Allen (140 ATT, 517 YDs, 3.7 AVG, 4 TDs), will be essential to this team’s success today. QB Joe Flacco (64.2 COMP%, 14 TDs, 12 INTs) will need to be accurate today. He has four different receivers who have 40 or more catches, including Allen who has caught 45 passes and has two TDs.

The Raven defense can be overwhelming. They have 16 forced fumbles with 11 recovered and six defensive TDs. They have made 22 picks, 38 sacks, 56 TFL, and 69 PD. LB Terrell Suggs comes to this game with 11 sacks, four forced fumbles, and four passes defended. Safety Eric Weddle has made six interceptions and forced two fumbles. LB C.J. Mosley leads the team with 120 tackles. He also has six PD, eight TFL, and two picks. Mosely has forced two fumbles and recovered three.

Ravens Summary

  • Offense is capable of scoring four TDs today
  • Defense has potential to score
  • A good game by Flacco means a blowout

Three Primary Takeaways

In our Indianapolis plays Baltimore 2017 NFL pick, we see these three takeaways as being important-

  1. Major defensive edge to Baltimore
  2. Baltimore has playoffs at stake
  3. Colt offense and defense weakened and struggling

Our Spread and Totals Picks

In creating our Indianapolis plays Baltimore 2017 NFL pick, we see that the Ravens have been on a scoring rampage at times. A few weeks ago, they put 44 points up against the Detroit Lions. They could certainly do the same today even with rain in the forecast. We like the over at 41.0, and we also think they have a good shot at covering at -13.0. Thus, we’re taking Baltimore at -13.0 and over 41.0. Kickoff is at 4:30 p.m. E.T.

Summary Indianapolis Plays Baltimore 2017 NFL Pick: Ravens at -13.0 and over 41.0

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pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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