Sunday Night Football features an epic rematch of last season’s AFC Championship between the Buffalo Bills (3-1, 1-0 away) and the Kansas City Chiefs (2-2, 1-1 home).
The Chief won that playoff matchup, 38-24, to advance to the second consecutive Super Bowl. Kansas ended a rare two-game skid with a 42-30 romp over the Eagles last week, and the Bills won their third in a row in a 40-0 shutout against the Texans.
Sunday’s kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. EST inside Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite, and the total over-under is currently at 57 points.
What to Know – Buffalo Bills
Buffalo’s been cruising since their Week 1 loss to the Steelers, averaging 39.3 points per game and holding opponents to 7.0 points against. The Bills pitched a pair of shutouts in two of three victories. Buffalo is 3-1 to start the season for the third straight season.
Josh Allen’s thrown eight touchdown passes over the last three weeks and is completing 63.1% of his passes on the season. Allen isn’t afraid to use his legs, too, rushing for 35 yards or more in three of the four games.
Buffalo is averaging 145.3 yards on the ground thanks to the rushing duo of Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. The two backs have combined to tally over 100-yards in each of the first four games this year.
The Bills own an impressive 12-3 record against the spread over their last 15 games. However, Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their previous six against Kansas City.
What to Know – Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City returned to their winning ways last weekend after back-to-back losses in Week 2 and 3. The Chiefs return to Arrowhead Stadium, where they are 1-1 this season. With three teams at 3-1 in the AFC West, a win Sunday night would keep KC right in the thick of the divisional race.
Patrick Mahomes continues to be one of the top quarterbacks in the league, throwing 14 touchdowns and adding one on the ground through four weeks. Mahomes and his two favorite targets, wide receiver Tyreek Hill and tight end Travis Kelce, continue to terrorize opposing defenses.
The Chiefs have turned up the usage of second-year running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire over the last two weeks. After only 89 yards on the ground through the first two weeks, Edwards-Helaire has eclipsed 100-yards rushing over the previous two contests.
Kansas City hasn’t favored betting backers, and the Chiefs are just 2-12-1 ATS over the last fifteen contests. The Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their previous eight games at home.
The Pick is In
These two teams are going to put on a show for the national audience Sunday night. Both teams are evenly matched, and if this were being played in Buffalo, the Bills would probably be a slight favorite.
Buffalo shows the NFL that they’ve closed the gap with the Chiefs Sunday night and wins this one late in the fourth quarter.
Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills +3