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MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers

Tonight Decides Whi Wins This Series

The Milwaukee Brewers meet the Los Angeles Dodgers for their final regular-season game. The Dodgers won last night’s meeting in extra innings 6-4, as they tied the series at three games apiece. Tonight’s game is the rubber match for the year. The Dodgers are presently tied for first in the NL West with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Similarly, the Milwaukee Brewers are in the midst of their division race. They are second in the NL Central, as they sit one game behind the first-place Chicago Cubs. Our Brewers play Dodgers 2018 MLB pick has LA at -190 and the Brew Crew at +185. The Dodgers are at -1.5 (+110) with the run line, while the Brewers are at +1.5 (-105). The over is at +105 and the under at -115 with the total being 7.5..

Pitching

Righty Jhoulys Chacin (10-3 W/L, 3.45 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) had a good July, posting four wins, no losses, and one no-decision. Over 30.2 innings, he’s allowed nine earned runs while giving up just three homers. This season, he’s recorded 109 strikeouts and just 48 BB. Tonight marks Chacin’s team-leading 24th start of the 2018 season. When he’s taken the mound this season Milwaukee is 16-7. In 25 career appearances (24 starts) against Los Angeles, he’s 11-8 with a 4.03 ERA. Chacin has had 10 starts at Dodger Stadium and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.08 ERA.

Throughout the month of July, Clayton Kershaw (4-5 W/L, 2.52 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) has pitched well. He’s won three, lost one, and received one no-decision. In 32.1 innings, he’s given up 10 earned runs and two homers. Over 89.1 IP, he’s posted 91 strikeouts and 17 BB. Although Kershaw has a losing record, he has done a good job, as he’s holding opposing batters to a .230 average and posting 9.2 strikeouts per inning. In his last game, which was against Atlanta, he allowed one run on six hits over 7.2 innings. The final in that game was 4-1. In 15 starts against Milwaukee, Kershaw is 5-5 with a 2.85 ERA. He’s holding Brewer hitters to a .208 batting average and a .252 slugging percentage.

Hitting

For the Brewers, Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain and Travis Shaw have had a great week with each hitting over .300. Yelich leads the team in average (.316) and, also, hits (118). Cain is hitting .299 and has smaked 104 hits and drawn 52 walks. He’s tops in OBP (.394). Shaw has posted 61 RBI, 20 homers, and 53 walks. Jesus Aguilar, who has had an off week, leads the team in RBI (74) and homeruns (25).

Across the board, Matt Kemp his having a fine season, as he leads LA with a .296 BA, 64 RBI, and 101 hits. Yasmani Grandal tops the team with a.361 OBP. He’s batting .263 with 19 round trippers, and 56 RBI. Although his average is hurting, Max Muncy has a team best 24 homers. Chris Taylor has hit 25 doubles eight triples, and 12 four baggers. As can be seen, there’s a solid group of hitters on this team. But the major question is can they hit Chacin, as he’s been very tough as of late?

Our Brewers Play Dodgers 2018 MLB Pick

As the series comes to a close, the Dodgers come in with a slight offensive edge, but certainly so much of this game will revolve around the starting pitching. With two solid pitchers starting, we’re going with under 7.5 runs (-115), as half of this series has been under that total. Finally, our Brewers play Dodgers 2018 MLB pick will be the Dodgers with the moneyline at -190.

Summary Milwaukee at Los Angeles Picks: Dodgers with moneyline at -190 and under 7.5 for -115

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pmroczka

Paul has been writing about sports betting and sports for more than a decade, offering picks on the NFL, MLB, NHL, and NBA, as well as on college sports and European football. He's written thousands of season and post-season previews, innumerable articles on sports betting strategies, and various books on sports and sports betting.

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