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MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays are in Detroit for the second game of their three game series with the Tigers. The Blue Jays have played the Tigers fairly well of late winning 5 of the last 7 meetings overall including 3 of the last 4 played in Detroit.

Head to Head Trends

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.
Over is 8-3-1 in Fletchers last 12 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.

Detroit Tigers (-120)

The Detroit Tigers are 3rd in the American League Central 6 games back of the 1st place Kansas City Royals. The Tigers have been a little hit or miss lately they can win big or lose big so it’s kind of hard to know what to expect from them. The Tigers have a solid offense averaging 4.38 runs per game but they have been red hot over their last 10 games batting .300 and averaging 5.30 runs per game.

On the hill for the Tigers today is lefty David Price who is 7-2 with a 2.62 ERA on the season. There’s not a whole lot to say about Price he has just been really good this season which is no real surprise.

Detroit Tigers Trends

Over is 20-5-1 in Tigers last 26 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Prices last 5 starts overall.

Toronto Blue Jays (+110)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4th in the American League East but they’re still just 2 games out of 1st place. The Blue Jays have been all about offense this season, they’re the highest scoring team in the Majors by far averaging 5.45 runs per game and that is even higher versus left handed pitching averaging 6.31 runs per 9 innings.

Starting for the Blue Jays today is Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey who is 3-8 with a 4.85 ERA on the season. Dickey has not been sharp this season especially on the road where is is 0-5 with a 5.79 ERA. Dickey has however been pitching much better of late putting together 6 solid starts in a row so maybe he has turned the corner or maybe it’s just time until he gets spanked again.

Toronto Blue Jays Trends

Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 10-4-3 in Dickeys last 17 starts as an underdog.

Conclusion

I am going to take the over 8 runs in this one. The Blue Jays have the best offense in baseball so they can put up big numbers on anyone plus the Tigers have been swinging some hot bats of late so I think 8 runs is kind of a low total.

Free Pick: Over 8 Runs  

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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