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MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants at LA Dodgers

Overview

The San Francisco Giants are in LA for a big three game series with division rivals the LA Dodgers. The Dodgers have won 5 of the last 6 meetings versus the Giants but they have struggled at home in Dodger Stadium against San Fran losing 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Head to Head trends

Giants are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
Giants are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.

LA Dodgers (-122)

The LA Dodgers are 1st in the National League West 4.5 games clear of 2nd place San Francisco. The Dodgers are 22 games over .500 on the season with a 89-67 record although for some strange reason a lot of that success has come on the road where they are 49-32. The Dodgers average 4.36 runs per game on offense and 3.81 runs per game on defense but both have taken a big jump lately as the Dodgers have been in a bunch of high scoring games. Over their last 10 games the Dodgers are averaging 7.50 runs per game on offense and 6.20 runs per game on defense for an incredible 13.70 total runs per game. On the hill for the Dodgers today is Dan Haren who is 13-11 with a 4.14 ERA on the season. Haren has pitched pretty good at home where he is 7-4 with a 3.47 ERA.

LA Dodgers Trends

Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Dodgers are 11-5 in their last 16 overall.

San Francisco Giants (+112)

The San Francisco Giants are 2nd in the National League West 4.5 games back of the LA Dodgers. The Giants are 13 games over .500 on the season with an 84-71 record and they have similar home and away records at 42-35 and 42-36. The Giants have been very inconsistent all season they go from being red hot for a couple weeks to ice cold overnight. They actually just finished a 13-3 stretch last week and have gone just 2-6 since. Starting for the Giants today is the veteran Jake Peavy who is 7-13 with a 3.82 ERA. Peavy started out the season with just 1 win in his first 23 starts but he has won 6 of his last 7 starts.

San Francisco Giants trends

Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Giants are 9-27 in their last 36 games as an underdog.

Conclusion

I like the LA Dodgers as a small -122 home favorite in this one. The Dodgers offense has been just off the charts hot lately hitting .326 as a team and averaging 7.50 runs per game over their last 10 games so if Haren can just be anywhere decent today the Dodgers should have a good shot at winning.

Free Pick: LA Dodgers -122

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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