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MLB Pick: LA Angels at Minnesota Twins

twins mlb logoThe LA Angels head out to Minnesota for a four game series with the Twins. The Angels have won all three games versus the Twins so far this season but a bright note for the Twins is that they have won 6 of the last 8 meetings at home versus the Angels so that’s something for them to look at.

Head to Head Trends

Over is 31-15-5 in the last 51 meetings.
Angels are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota.

Minnesota Twins (+108)

The Minnesota Twins are last in the American League Central 16.5 games back of the 1st place Kansas City Royals. The Twins are 17 games under .500 at 61-78 and they play just as bad at home as they do on the road so they don’t seem to have much of a home field advantage. The Twins big problem this season has been starting pitching. A lot of teams would probably say the same thing right now but the Twins starters have a combined ERA of 5.08 which is the worst in all of baseball. On the hill for the Twins today is second year man Kyle Gibson who is 11-10 with a 4.23 ERA on the season.

Minnesota Twins Trends

Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.
Twins are 0-4 in Gibsons last 4 home starts.
Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a left-handed starter.

LA Angels (-118)

The LA Angels are 1st in the American League West 4.5 games up on the 2nd place Oakland Athletics. The Angels are not only 1st in the West but they also have the best record in baseball with 83 wins and just 55 losses. The Angels have been on a nice roll for a while now winning 45 of their last 66 games and they have also won 56 of their last 77 versus teams with a losing record so they really know how to take advantage of the weaker teams. On the mound for the Angels is lefty Hector Santiago who is 4-7 with a 3.28 ERA. Santiago might only have 4 wins in 19 starts this season but he has pitched fairly well of late allowing just a total 7 earned runs over his last 7 starts.

LA Angels Trends

Angels are 45-21 in their last 66 overall.
Angels are 56-21 in their last 77 vs. a team with a losing record.

Conclusion

I like the Angels to get it done and beat the Twins in this one today. The Twins are not the best team in the world while the Angels have the best record in baseball right now so I think there’s some solid value in the Angels today as a small road favorite.

Free Pick: LA Angels -118  

 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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