Best Chances of Scoring
QB Derek Carr can be dangerous. He’s hitting on 68.4% of his passes and has 18 TDs passes and six picks. That’s a much better TD/INT ratio. Carr has been consistent through most of the season, tossing at least one scoring pass in each of his last five games. With RB Marshawn Lynch out, the Raiders don’t have much of a rush attack. RBs Doug Martin and Jalen Richards offer the primary ground thrust. Martin has 130 rushes for 516 yards and is averaging 4.0 YPA. He’s scored three times. Richards is averaging 5.4 YPA. Veteran TE Jared Cook leads the team with 63 catches. He’s scored six times. Veteran wideout Jordy Nelson, who has 47 catches, has three TD receptions. Cook has not caught a touchdown pass since Dec. 2 and Nelson since Oct. 7.
The Raiders are allowing 29.9 PPG. In doing so, they have recorded only a dozen sacks, 11 picks, and four FF. Their 61 PD and 51 TFL are decent. But, overall, Denver is superior to Oakland when it comes to defense. There is really no comparison.
Denver is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games when playing in Oakland and 6-3 ATS in its last nine games. The Broncos are 11-4 SU when playing on the road against the Raiders. Also, they are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against the Raiders. In its last 10 games, Oakland is 3-7 against the spread. They are 3-15 SU in their last 18 contests. The Raiders are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine games at home and 1-4 SU in their last five home games. Denver has the edge here, especially with the spread at -1.0.
Our Raiders vs Broncos Pick
Our Raiders vs Broncos pick is going with Denver at -1.0. When the Broncos were at -3.0 and even -2.5, we found this bet unattractive. But we do like the near even spread here. Don’t forget to also see our over/under pick for Oakland vs Denver,