The Cincinnati pitching staff certainly had its struggles last season as their 68 wins placed them 26th amongst all MLB clubs. They were 20th in opponent batting average with a .263 mark. The team’s bullpen managed to notch just 33 saves (tied 25th). When it came to ERA, the Reds were ranked 29th. The team’s earned run average was 5.17.
The third man in is former promising prospect and now downgraded mid-career righty Homer Bailey (6-9 W/L, 6.43 ERA, 6.6 K/9). Baily has been plagued the last three seasons with injuries and ineffectiveness. Lefty Brandon Finnegan (1-1 W/L, 4.15 ERA, 11.1 K/9) saw little action last season, as he was dealing with injuries. In 2016, he posted a career-high 172 innings. The final guy in the rotation, right-handed pitcher Robert Stephenson (5-6 W/L, 4.68 ERA, 9.1 K/9), posted a 2.62 ERA over his final nine starts. He does have command problems and his stuff isn’t what it should be in order to start.
Right-handed closer Raisel Iglesias (2.49 ERA, 28 SVs, 10.9 K/9) led the majors in multi-inning saves with eight. His fastball/slider combo was effective. Michael Lorenzen (8-4 W/L, 4.45 ERA, 8.7 K/9), who uses the same pitch combination and also saw numerous mulit-inning relief appearances, led the team in wins despite the fact that he had no starts. He made 70 appearances last season. Lefty Wandy Peralta (3-4 W/L, 3.76 ERA, 7.9 K/9) has a fine season in 2017 as he topped all rookie pitchers in appearances (69) and managed to garner 16 holds.
The fielding situation was good, as the defense posted a .986 grade (6th). However, double plays were not their strong points. The Reds made 133 DPs, which earned them a ranking of 24th. When it came to hitting and offense, this team was about average as they batted .253 (18th) as a team and had a slugging percentage of .433 (13th). Their on-base percentage of .329 earned them a ranking of 12th, while they were 13th in homers with 219 and 14th in RBI with 715. This was a team that stole a lot of bases, 120 (3rd). Lead-off batter Billy Hamilton had close to half of those steals, as he took 59 bases last season.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett (.297 BA, 97 RBI, 27 HRs) socked four grand slams and also has a four-homerun game last season. The only other player to ever do that was Lou Gehrig. Shortstop Jose Peraza (.259 BA, 37 RBI, 5 HRs) needs to show more consistency at the plate, while right fielder Scott Schebler (.233 BA, 67 RBI, 30 HRs) needs to be able to sustain his output throughout the season. Catcher Devin Mesoraco (.213 BA, 14 RBI, 6 HRs) saw his at-bat struggles continue last season.
At third base, Suarez is just about perfect. Last season, he went 71 straight games without an error. First baseman Votto offers a good glove. Gennett is a premium fielder at second, while the Reds are looking to shortstop Peraza to play better D than he did last season. Mesoraco is a good catcher, but he’s been prone to injury throughout his career. His lack of durability is a real concern for this team. In center, Hamilton is not only fast, but he’s smart and athletic. He’s got fine defensive skills and instincts. Duvall in left and Schebler in right are both solid fielders with sound arms.
Management and Front Office
GM Billy Williams has put together a pretty good group of pitchers and a deep outfield. But he still has not shown great results. Williams uses analytics religiously and has improved the team. Manager Bryan Price has not has much success in Cincinnati, but his teams have been fairly deficient so it’s hard to judge his helmsmanship. He’s been creative in his use of relief pitchers in the late innings, leaving them in for a few innings at a time. Ownership continues to extend his contract each of the past few seasons, which means they must have some faith in Price.
Cincinnati Reds 2018 Preview: Final Word
Our Cincinnati Reds 2018 preview does see this team as improving overall. But this is not an easy division. The Cardinals and Cubs are both quality teams, while the Brewers and Pirates can certainly compete with, and in some ways, overmatch the Reds. We think another fifth-place finish is in order in 2018.