Bears D vs Packers Offense
Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers is having a solid season. Rodgers, who’s completed 62.0% of his passes, has tossed 23 TD passes and just one pick. WR Devante Adams is Rodgers’ favorite target. He thrown to Adams 138 times, completing 92 of those tosses. Those stats are just about twice as large as any other Green Bay pass catcher. Adams has caught 12 TD passes. That’s half of Rodger’s scoring throws. If the Bears can put enough pressure on Rodgers and also mitigate the Adams-Rodgers connection, then they will have a solid shot at a win.
Rodgers vs Trubisky
As far as Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky is concerned, he has been inconsistent. His last two games have been train wrecks, as he’s thrown a total of two TD passes to five interceptions. Over the course of the season, Trubisky has thrown 21 TD passes and 12 picks. Half of those muscies have occurred over the past four games. His best game of the four was against the Detroit Lions. In that contest, he tossed three TD passes, no INTs, and completed 23-of-30 passes for 355 yards. One key will be Chicago running back Jordan Howard (713 YDs, 3.6 YPA, 5 TDs). If Howard can pick up a decent number of yards, such as the 101 he had against the Rams last week, that will help the passing game.
Edge: Green Bay
PF vs PA Stats
Here are some basic stats. The Pack is scoring 24.2 PPG, while the Bears are averaging 27.6 PPG. Defensive, as noted, the Chicago is giving up 19.0. Green Bay is allowing 23.6. The edge in PF/PA average differential goes to the Bears, as they stand at +8.6. Green Bay is at +0.6. Overall on the season, Chicago is +112 and Green Bay +8. At home, Chicago is +78 overall and +11.1 on average. On the road, the Packers are -40. On average, they are -6.6.
Our Week 15 Chicago vs. Green Bay Pick
When these two teams met at Green Bay in the first week of the season, the Packers won 24-23. In that game, Trubisky went 23-of-35 and was sacked four times. He threw no TD passes. At the same time, Trubisky did not toss a pick. Howard had 15 carries for 84 yards but did not score. Rodgers played a much better game than Trubisky. He was 20-of-30 for 286 yards. The Green Bay QB threw three scoring passes. Chicago scored one rushing TD and Mack nabbed an INT and scored. The difference that day was Rodgers. Today, we think the difference will be the Chicago defense. They have matured and are at home where they play best. Our Week 15 Chicago vs. Green Bay pick is the Bears at -5.0.