Nearly 75% of public bettors are liking the Yankees as they travel to Oakland in the August 20th MLB betting free pick. There is good value on New York at -135 as they have been victorious in 7 of their last 10 games. The A’s just took 3 of the last 4 at home vs. Houston however and have taken 6 of the last 7 from New York in Oakland (OAK +120).
New York Continues to Stay on a Roll
Anytime a bettor can get the Yankees at under -140 it seems like a value play considering New York is 40 games above .500 on the season. That includes wins in 7 of the last 9 but also a 4-game split with Cleveland at home over the weekend. The Yankees are 34-23 on the road on the season and are 6-2 in their last 8 going away. Gleybar Torres and DJ LeMahieu have powered New York’s most recent positive swing with a combined 6HR in the last 6 games.
The August 20th MLB betting free pick will be the first matchup between the Yankees and A’s this season. Tuesday’s New York starter Domingo German made one start vs. Oakland a year ago, allowing 6ER in just 5.0 IP. German has an amazing 16-2 record on the season but has allowed 12 HR over his past 5 starts. The right-hander is 8-1 on the road in 2019, but that’s mainly due to run support as his ERA away from Yankee Stadium is 5.58 (2.24 at home).
A’s No Pushover Tuesday
Oakland very much helped their own cause over the weekend, taking 3 of 4 from Houston. The Astros still have an 8 game lead in the AL West, but the A’s have now pulled to within a game of the 2nd wild card spot. Overall the Athletics are 6-3 over their last 9 and have a major advantage being at home in this spot as they have won 72 of their last 107 contests in the Bay. Matt Chapman has 4 HRs and a .417 average over the past week to lead the Oakland charge. Robbie Grossman and Mark Canha are both 2-2 in their careers vs. NYY starter German.
The A’s will turn to Homer Bailey to keep their positive home stand going. The veteran has made six starts with Oakland since coming over from Kansas City and his last outing was his best with 7.0 IP of 2 hit ball at San Francisco. Otherwise Bailey has a 7ER and a 9ER allowed outing since coming to Oakland. The Yankees have hit just .229 (11-48) vs. Bailey with only 1HR. That includes a 1ER over 6.0 IP outing in April when Bailey was a member of the Royals.
Top Trends:
- Yankees are 6-2 their last 8 road games
- Yankees are 42-16 last 58 overall
- Over is 5-1 Yankees last 6 vs. RH starter
- A’s are 35-17 last 52 overall
- Over is 5-2 last 7 H2H meetings
- Yankees are 1-6 last 7 in Oakland
MLB Free Pick
There’s value on both squads in this one, especially with each coming in after an off day on Monday. The O/U is set at 9.5 and even though Bailey has had some success vs. New York, he’s also had a couple really bad outings since coming over to Oakland. New York’s German has a very good W/L record, but his road ERA leaves a lot to be desired. Should be some runs put up in this one.
Free Pick: Yankees @ Athletics *Over* 9.5
