Well, here’s a stat for you and for our Saints versus Rams pick. The LA is second in the NFL in PPG with 32.9 and New Orleans is second with 31.5. The Rams have the third-ranked rush attack while the Saints offer the sixth-ranked. In passing yards, once again Los Angeles is third while New Orleans is 12th.
We’re calling this even.
Defense could be the difference-maker today. Both teams are relatively close, but we’d have to say that the Saints have a bit of an advantage. When it comes to pressuring QBs and stopping the run, New Orleans can bring it. They posted 49 sacks and 98 TFL. The Rams were close with 41 sacks and 84 TFL. In terms of forced fumbles, the Saints had 19 while recovering 12 and the Rams managed to force 14 and also recover 12. LA led in defensive TDs (4-to-1), blocked kicks (2-to-1), and interceptions (18-to-12). The teams were just about even in PD with New Orleans defending 66 and LA 65.
One important fact. The home team comes to this NFC championship with 49 sacks, and they are facing a QB who was brought down behind the line of scrimmage 33 times this season. They will be looking to put pressure on Goff. However, when they met in the regular season, the Saints could not get to Goff. If they can in this game, that will be a major achievement.
In the end, we like the Ram defense a bit better due to their ability to turn turnovers into points.
Edge: Los Angeles
Saints vs Rams Pick – Five Keys
- Brees vs Goff – Whoever performs better their team wins
- Kamara vs Gurley – Whichever team utilizes their RBs most effectively has a major advantage
- Saints’ pass rush needs to get to Goff
- Rams’ offense needs to wear down New Orleans D
- Might home field be the key?
Los Angeles at New Orleans Pick
Our Saints versus Rams pick notes that New Orleans has done well against LA when at home, winning four-of-six and also going four-and-six against the spread. When these two teams met this past November in New Orleans the Saints prevailed in a shootout 45-35. Still, we think that the Ram offense will keep the Saints’ D off-balance. We like the away team today. Our pick for Los Angles at New Orleans is the Rams at +3.0.