Recapping Recent Team Performance
What the Stats Say
Only two NBA teams are allowing more points per game than the Kings, the Washington Wizards and Atlanta Hawks. At the same time, only two teams are allowing fewer points than the Nuggets, the Memphis Grizzlies and the Indiana Pacers. And although Sacramento is scoring five more points per game than Denver (115.1-to-110.0), the points allowed stats put the Kings at -1.7 and the Nuggets at +5.2. The difference between those two differentials give the visitors a 6.9-point advantage.
Threes, Frees and D’s
Does either team have a clear advantage when pumping in three-points shots, making a trip to the charity stripe, or when it comes to defense? Our Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets preview notes that blocks, steals, and turnovers per game are all relatively equal. And although Denver holds a four-point edge in free-throw completions and Sacramento a three-percentage point advantage in three-point successes, when you compare the point totals, they are very nearly equal in each category. The two-point conversion rate, which favors tonight’s visiting team a bit, even out when it comes to actual point totals.
Keys to the Game
- Kings missing big presence PF Marvin Bagley III
- Nuggets without contributions of SG Will Barton
- Denver deeper than Sacramento; gets more help off bench
- PG De’Aaron Fox major factor for Kings
- Center Nikola Jokic commands respect in paint
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Preview Picks
Although Denver is not a great road team, we do think they have the necessary components on both sides of the ball to win this game. Our Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets preview sees the tough Denver D as handling the fast-paced Kings. Take the Nuggets at -3.5. We also like the over in this one at 227.0.