The week 10 Chiefs at Raiders matchup has Kansas City as -2.5 favorites even on the road and after some recent struggles as of late. Andy Reid’s squad barely slipped by an Aaron Rodgers-less Packers team 13-7 last week and just got by the Giants the game before in a 20-17 win as -10.5 favorites.
Make no mistake the Raiders didn’t look great last week themselves, losing 23-16 against the 3-6 Giants. That was on the road though, and Las Vegas is back at Allegiant Stadium where they are 3-1 on the season. LV also matched up very well with the Chiefs last season, beating them 40-32 in Arrowhead and losing a late lead in a 35-31 defeat in week 11 as +7.5 underdogs. A slight 52% of the betting public still likes Kansas City.
Chiefs Barely Surviving
Wins are wins in the NFL so ultimately who cares if the Chiefs had a tougher time than expected in wins over the Giants and Packers recently? KC has still pushed their record to 5-4, and thanks to the Raiders loss last week are just a game back in the loss column in the division from 5-3 Las Vegas.
Even with the wins, are there some concerns with the KC offense coming into the week 10 Chiefs at Raiders matchup? Patrick Mahomes threw for 275 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT vs. the Giants and had 166 yards with a TD vs. Green Bay. Mahomes has completed 60% or less of his passes in three straight.
Even with the Kansas City offense averaging just 16.5 ppg the last two, fans have to be happy with the performance of their defense in holding New York and Green Bay to a 12 ppg average. The Packers didn’t have Rodgers though and the Giants average less than 20 ppg so things get a bit more difficult against a Las Vegas team that has the #2 pass offense in the league.
Good Spot for the Raiders
Las Vegas fell guilty of the ‘look ahead’ game last week in laying an offensive egg at MetLife Stadium. They have been apt to do that though with a 28-14 loss to the Chargers and falling 20-9 to the Bears but had scored 30+ points in two straight games before last week’s 23-16 loss to the Raiders.
Derek Carr was 30/46 last week vs. the Giants, throwing for 296 yards with a TD and 2 INT. It was a down game for Carr who had 320+ with 4 TD to 1 INT in wins over Denver (34-24) and Philadelphia (33-22) in the two outings prior. Carr had 347 and 275 yards in the two games vs. the Chiefs last season with 6 TD and 2 INT.
Mahomes had 340+ yards passing in both games vs. the Raiders last season so Las Vegas hopes that the Chiefs’ QBs recent struggles continue on Sunday night. The Raiders were 26th vs. the pass last season (263 ypg), but have gotten much better on defense this year with their 207.1 ypg allowed through the air being the 5th best in the NFL.
Week 10 Chiefs at Raiders Pick
There’s not a lot to say about this game except for Las Vegas being a home underdog in a conference game. The Raiders nearly swept the season series with the Chiefs last year, and a couple close calls from the last couple weeks are going to catch up to KC eventually.
Chiefs 21 – Raiders 31
Free Pick: Raiders +2.5