The Padres and Marlins finish their three-game series on Wednesday afternoon at Petco Park in San Diego. First pitch is set for 4:10PM ET. San Diego is 31-22 overall and 18-8 at home. Miami is 21-32 and has struggled on the road at 8-17.
San Diego has already won the first two games of the series. The Padres won 4-3 in 11 innings on Monday and came back from six runs down to win 8-6 on Tuesday. Miami is looking to avoid a sweep. The Padres are trying to earn their fifth sweep at home this season.
Padres Preview – Hart Gets Another Shot
Kyle Hart returns to the rotation after a short time in Triple-A. He is 2-0 at home this season with a 1.64 ERA in two starts at Petco Park. In his last start before being sent down, Hart struggled on the road with a 10.80 ERA in three games.
San Diego’s offense has produced in the series. Luis Arraez had three hits and drove in two runs in Tuesday’s win. Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. have helped spark the team during their current three-game winning streak.
The bullpen has helped, too. San Diego relievers have a 2.93 ERA over 160 innings this season. Jason Adam, Adrian Morejon, and Robert Suarez have all pitched well lately with scoreless outings in their last appearances. The Padres have allowed just 3.87 runs per game this year, one of the best marks in the National League.
Marlins Preview – Alcantara Tries to End Skid
Sandy Alcantara is 2-7 with an 8.04 ERA in 2025. He gave up five earned runs in his last start against the Angels. Alcantara has lost his last five starts, giving up 5 or more runs in each game. His ERA over the last month is 9.51 in five starts.
Alcantara has had success against the Padres in the past, with a 2.84 ERA in five career starts. But he has allowed seven home runs over his last 31.2 innings, which has been a problem during his current losing streak. He has also walked 13 batters in his last five outings.
Miami’s offense has started hot in both games but faded. On Tuesday, they scored six runs in the first inning but only had five hits the rest of the way. The team has lost nine of its last 13 games. Jesus Sanchez and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have had trouble driving in runs in late innings.
Betting Prediction
The Padres are -161 favorites and looking for a sweep. Hart has been much better at home, and the bullpen is in good shape. The Marlins have been poor on the road and Alcantara continues to struggle. San Diego has also covered in 16 of its last 24 home games.
The total is set at 8.0. The Padres have hit the under in 16 of their last 25 games at home. A final score prediction would be Padres 6, Marlins 3. The Padres have the edge in starting pitching, bullpen performance, and recent hitting.
Pick: Padres -1.5
