The New York Mets begin a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday night at Camden Yards. First pitch is set for 6:35 PM ET. The Mets are 52-39 on the season, while the Orioles come in at 40-49.
These teams met last August, when the Mets won two out of three at home. The Mets had Monday off after a rivalry series against the Yankees. The Orioles also had a break after sweeping the Braves in Atlanta, including a 2-1 win in extra innings.
Mets Preview – Holmes Looks to Stay Steady on the Road
Clay Holmes will start for the Mets. He is 8-4 with a 2.99 ERA in 17 starts. He’s allowed just 8 earned runs across his last five starts and is averaging five innings per outing.
New York’s pitching staff ranks near the top in ERA at 3.56. Their starters carry a 3.36 ERA, and the bullpen has a 3.58 ERA over 299.1 innings. Edwin Diaz and Reed Garrett continue to lead the bullpen in strikeouts and WHIP.
Offensively, the Mets are scoring 4.42 runs per game while allowing 3.93. Ronny Mauricio has delivered off the bench in recent games. Despite a 41-47 O/U record, the Mets have hit the over in eight of their last nine games. They’ve also covered the run line in 41 of 77 games overall.
Orioles Preview – Young Rotation, Bullpen in Focus
Baltimore sends Brandon Young to the mound. He is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and has not lasted more than 4.2 innings in any start. He’s looking for his first big league win and will need to avoid early trouble.
The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.93, allowing 5.09 runs per game. Their bullpen is being used heavily and has a 3.74 ERA across 296 innings. Felix Bautista and Bryan Baker are among the most effective options, but injuries have thinned the group.
Jackson Holliday leads the offense after going 4-for-4 on Sunday and driving in both runs. The Orioles have hit the under in 26 of their last 40 games and are 39-46 to the total overall. They’ve covered just 34 of 88 full-game run lines this season and are trying to win four straight for the second time in 2025.
Betting Prediction
The Mets are -135 favorites, and the total is set at 10 runs. Holmes has been steady over the last month and matches up well against a Baltimore lineup that is inconsistent. Young has not worked deep into games, which could expose the Orioles bullpen early.
New York has covered the run line in over half of its games this year, and their bats have heated up recently. Baltimore has struggled to score against strong right-handed pitching. Look for the Mets to control this one and win by multiple runs.
Pick: Mets -1.5
