MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners

mlb bravesThe Atlanta Braves finish up their mini two games series with the Seattle Mariners today at Safeco Field in Seattle. The Mariners won the first game of the series on another dominant outing by King Felix Hernandez. Yesterdays game was the 3rd meeting of the season between the Braves and Mariners with Seattle winning all three.

Head to Head Trends

Mariners have won all 3 meetings this season.

Seattle Mariners (+111)

The Seattle mariners are 3rd in the American League West 11 games back of the 1st place Oakland Athletics. The Mariners are 4 games over .500 overall this season but are actually 4 games under .500 at home with a 27-31 record. The Mariners have the best pitching staff in baseball allowing just 3.29 runs per game but they also have the worst offense in the American League averaging 3.79 runs per game. On the hill for the Mariners today is the big man Chris Young who is 9-6 with a 3.19 ERA and has to be one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. Young gets absolutely no respect from the linesmakers or bettors alike he has been an underdog in 17 of his 21 starts this season and if you had bet just $100 per game on all of Youngs starts this season you would be up $642.

Seattle Mariners Trends

Mariners are 7-3 in Youngs last 10 home starts.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.

Atlanta Braves (-121)

The Atlanta Braves are 2nd in the National League East 3 games back of the Washington Nationals. The Braves are 3 games over .500 overall this season but a 4 games under .500 on the road with a 27-31 record. The Braves are in the middle of a pretty nasty slump losing their last 7 games in a row. The main problem has been the Braves bats who have scored more then 2 runs just twice in their last 8 games. Starting for the Braves is Julio Teheran who is 10-7 with a 2.69 ERA on the season.

Atlanta Brave Trends

Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 overall.
Braves are 6-2 in Teherans last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.


I like the Seattle Mariners to get it done today versus the slumping Braves. Everything is fairly equal in this matchup. The Braves have a similar over record to the Mariners, the Braves road record is the same as the Mariners home record, the pitchers have similar records although I would give a slight edge to the Teheran. All that being said the Mariners are a +111 underdog and the Braves have also lost their last 7 straight games so I think there’s some very solid value in the Mariners today.

Free Pick: Seattle Mariners +111



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